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Stadium Background

Kairat Almaty 2 vs Taraz-Karatau 2

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First Division 2022
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Kushkumbayev D.
46' Event
Popov S.
52' Event
Kobeev M.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The First Division 2022 game between Kairat Almaty 2 and Taraz-Karatau 2 finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kairat Almaty 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Kairat Almaty 2
6%
Draws
4%
Taraz-Karatau 2
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Kairat Almaty 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Kairat Almaty 2 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Kairat Almaty 2 taking it.
  • Regular First Division 2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Kairat Almaty 2 Clean Sheet 20%
Taraz-Karatau 2 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kairat Almaty 2 Taraz-Karatau 2
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 23 10
Draws 6 6
Losses 5 14
Goals Scored 1.63 0
Goals Conceded 1.63 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 5, 2022 First League
Kairat Almaty 2 vs Taraz-Karatau 2
4:0
Apr 17, 2022 First League
Taraz-Karatau 2 vs Kairat Almaty 2
0:0
Oct 26, 2021 First League
Kairat Almaty 2 vs Taraz-Karatau 2
1:0
Jun 20, 2021 First League
Taraz-Karatau 2 vs Kairat Almaty 2
2:2
Aug 16, 2012 First League
Taraz-Karatau 2 vs Kairat Almaty 2
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kairat Almaty 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kushkumbayev D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Popov S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Taraz-Karatau 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kairat Almaty 2 85 / 100
Taraz-Karatau 2 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kairat Almaty 2 Taraz-Karatau 2

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kairat Almaty 2's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Taraz-Karatau 2 has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Kairat Almaty 2 stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Kairat Almaty 2 VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Okzhetpes26194380:2261
2Kaisar Kyzylorda26175460:2656
3Zhetysu Taldykorgan26174557:2352
4Kairat Almaty 226156561:3151
5FK Kyran26125957:4341
6FC Ekibastuz26910745:4737
7Taraz-Karatau 2261061045:4736
8Zhenis261051140:3635
9Turkistan261051148:5435
10Akademiya Ontustik26861242:6030
11FC Astana 226761350:6227
12Igilik26631727:7021
13Shakhtar Bulat26451736:7217
14Baykonur Kyzylorda26142116:717