Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kairat Almaty 2 vs Tobol 2

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First League
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Smakov A.
Assist: Kalikulov A.
34' Event
Bagdat R.
Assist: Abish M.
38' Event
Bagdat R.

AI Match Summary

Kairat Almaty 2 in this First League matchup, with the score ending 7-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kairat Almaty 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Kairat Almaty 2
6%
Draws
4%
Tobol 2
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Kairat Almaty 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Kairat Almaty 2 lately — more wins on the board than Tobol 2.
  • Kairat Almaty 2 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular First League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Kairat Almaty 2 Clean Sheet 18%
Tobol 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kairat Almaty 2 Tobol 2
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 20 4
Draws 5 9
Losses 5 16
Goals Scored 3.63 2.25
Goals Conceded 0.38 3.38
Expected Goals (xG) 3.63 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 3.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 12, 2026 First League
Kairat Almaty 2 vs Tobol 2
7:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kairat Almaty 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Smakov A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Bagdat R.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.79
Avg xA / game 1.81

Tobol 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kairat Almaty 2 85 / 100
Tobol 2 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kairat Almaty 2 Tobol 2

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kairat Almaty 2 found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Tobol 2 let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 7.00 goals as a typical output.

Kairat Almaty 2 has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Kairat Almaty 2 VS Tobol 2
3.63 Goals Scored 2.25
0.38 Goals Conceded 3.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kairat Almaty 213112044:735
2Shakhter Karagandy13111136:534
3Turan1381425:1125
4FC Astana 21362524:2220
5Akademiya Ontustik1362519:1720
6Jaiyq1361611:1719
7Khan Tengri1352618:2517
8FC Ekibastuz1345417:2417
9Taraz1351719:1916
10Aktobe 21344526:3916
11Kaspij Aktau 21343616:2215
12Arys1331915:2810
13Tobol 21314821:387
14Yelimay Semey 21313910:276