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Stadium Background

Kairat Almaty vs Ulytau - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

Premier League Almaty Central Stadium, Almaty
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Edmilson
Assist: Gual M.
44'
Carmona Sierra D.
53' Event
Jukkola O.
Assist: Mendonsa G.

AI Match Summary

Kairat Almaty in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kairat Almaty.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Kairat Almaty
15%
Draws
26%
Ulytau
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kairat Almaty

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Kairat Almaty lately — more wins on the board than Ulytau.
  • Kairat Almaty are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Kairat Almaty have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Kairat Almaty Clean Sheet 20%
Ulytau Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kairat Almaty Ulytau
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 18 9
Draws 3 9
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.77 1.03
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Premier League
Kairat Almaty vs Ulytau
3:1
May 10, 2026 Premier League
Ulytau vs Kairat Almaty
1:1
Aug 2, 2025 Premier League
Kairat Almaty vs Ulytau
1:0
May 3, 2025 Premier League
Ulytau vs Kairat Almaty
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kairat Almaty Compare

Top Goalscorer Edmilson
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jukkola O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Ulytau Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kairat Almaty 76 / 100
Ulytau 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kairat Almaty Ulytau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kairat Almaty Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kairat Almaty's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Ulytau conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Kairat Almaty has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Kairat Almaty VS Ulytau
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Kairat Almaty

(Home)
17 Sept
FC Astana
1 : 0
Kairat Almaty
13 Sept
Kairat Almaty
1 : 4
Tobol
09 Sept
Kairat Almaty
3 : 0
Zhenis
05 Sept
Kaspij Aktau
0 : 3
Kairat Almaty
31 Aug
Yelimay Semey
0 : 2
Kairat Almaty
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Ulytau

(Away)
18 Sept
Aktobe
2 : 2
Ulytau
13 Sept
Ulytau
0 : 3
Altai
06 Sept
Tobol
3 : 1
Ulytau
29 Aug
Ulytau
3 : 0
Zhetysu Taldykorgan
15 Aug
Kairat Almaty
3 : 1
Ulytau
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ordabasy 26 19 4 3 51:18 61
2 Kairat Almaty 26 17 6 3 51:20 57
3 FC Astana 25 14 6 5 42:25 48
4 Okzhetpes 26 13 6 7 41:35 45
5 Aktobe 26 12 6 8 38:31 42
6 Yelimay Semey 25 10 8 7 35:33 38
7 Tobol 26 10 4 12 33:35 34
8 Zhenis 26 8 8 10 26:32 32
9 Ulytau 26 8 8 10 24:32 32
10 Kaspij Aktau 26 8 5 13 27:36 29
11 Ertis Pavlodar 25 6 8 11 26:34 26
12 Altai 26 6 7 13 26:36 25
13 Kaisar Kyzylorda 26 4 12 10 22:33 24
14 Kyzylzhar 26 6 6 14 26:40 24
15 Atyrau 25 4 11 10 18:28 23
16 Zhetysu Taldykorgan 26 5 7 14 26:44 22
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - First League 2027 (Main)