Sport Picks
Kaisar Kyzylorda vs Tobol
Kazakhstan
Kazakhstan Cup Kaysar Arena, Kyzylorda 
Match Events
15'
15'
Marat D.
19'
19'
Tolegenov A.
22'
22'
Sovet S.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 2-1. This leg finished 2-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
26%
15%
59%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tobol
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- Tobol have won more games recently than Kaisar Kyzylorda.
- 59% — that's where the model lands on Tobol taking it.
- Tobol arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Kaisar Kyzylorda, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Kaisar Kyzylorda Clean Sheet 15%
Tobol Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Kaisar Kyzylorda | Tobol |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 13 |
| Draws | 11 | 4 |
| Losses | 11 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.07 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.27 | 1.23 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 25, 2026 Premier League
Tobol vs Kaisar Kyzylorda
3:2
May 17, 2026 Premier League
Kaisar Kyzylorda vs Tobol
2:1
May 13, 2026 Kazakhstan Cup
Kaisar Kyzylorda vs Tobol
2:1
Sep 28, 2025 Premier League
Tobol vs Kaisar Kyzylorda
1:0
Jun 15, 2025 Premier League
Kaisar Kyzylorda vs Tobol
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Kaisar Kyzylorda Compare
Top Goalscorer Konlimkos B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Tobol Compare
Top Goalscorer Zhumat D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Kaisar Kyzylorda 11 / 100
Tobol 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Kaisar Kyzylorda Tobol
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Tobol Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Tobol let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.
Kaisar Kyzylorda found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).
H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.
Kaisar Kyzylorda has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Kaisar Kyzylorda VS Tobol
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Kaisar Kyzylorda
(Home) 18 Sept
Kyzylzhar
1 : 1 Kaisar Kyzylorda
12 Sept
Kaisar Kyzylorda
1 : 0 Atyrau
06 Sept
Altai
2 : 0 Kaisar Kyzylorda
29 Aug
Kaisar Kyzylorda
2 : 3 Okzhetpes
25 Aug
Tobol
3 : 2 Kaisar Kyzylorda
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Kaisar Kyzylorda
1 : 0 Atyrau
29 Aug
Kaisar Kyzylorda
2 : 3 Okzhetpes
15 Aug
Kaisar Kyzylorda
1 : 2 Aktobe
29 Jul
Kaisar Kyzylorda
3 : 1 Zhenis
18 Jul
Kaisar Kyzylorda
1 : 1 Kaspij Aktau
Page 1 of 4
Tobol
(Away) 17 Sept
Tobol
0 : 2 Yelimay Semey
13 Sept
Kairat Almaty
1 : 4 Tobol
06 Sept
Tobol
3 : 1 Ulytau
30 Aug
Kaspij Aktau
1 : 0 Tobol
25 Aug
Tobol
3 : 2 Kaisar Kyzylorda
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Kairat Almaty
1 : 4 Tobol
30 Aug
Kaspij Aktau
1 : 0 Tobol
16 Aug
Ertis Pavlodar
0 : 2 Tobol
06 Aug
Partizan
3 : 0 Tobol
02 Aug
Ordabasy
2 : 0 Tobol
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Akademiya Ontustik 2
Ordabasy 4
FC Ekibastuz 0
Kaspij Aktau 4
Jas Qyran 0
Atyrau 4
Karshiga Almaty 0
Zhetysu Taldykorgan 1
Arys 0
Aktobe 4
Turan 1
Yelimay Semey 4
Jelaev Nan 0
Altai 2
Taraz 0
Ulytau 1
Talas 0
Kaisar Kyzylorda 2
Jaiyq 1
Kairat Almaty 3
BKS 1
FC Astana 2
Ansat 0
Tobol 8
Shakhter Karagandy 2
Okzhetpes 3
Chromtau 1
Zhenis 4
SD Family -
Ertis Pavlodar -
Khan Tengri 0
Kyzylzhar 1
1/8-finals
Ordabasy 3
Kaspij Aktau 0
Atyrau 0
Zhetysu Taldykorgan 2
Aktobe 2
Yelimay Semey 1
Altai 4
Ulytau 3
Kaisar Kyzylorda 2
Kairat Almaty 1
FC Astana 1
Tobol 2
Okzhetpes 2
Zhenis 3
Ertis Pavlodar 1
Kyzylzhar 2
Quarter-finals
Ordabasy 1
Zhetysu Taldykorgan 0
Aktobe 1
Altai 2
Kaisar Kyzylorda 2
Tobol 1
Zhenis 2
Kyzylzhar 0
Semi-finals
Ordabasy 5
Altai 2
Kaisar Kyzylorda 5
Zhenis 4
Final
Ordabasy -
Kaisar Kyzylorda -
