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Kaitseliit vs Kalju II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Estonia Estonia

Estonian Cup 2008/2009
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-3, with Kalju II advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Kaitseliit
15%
Draws
34%
Kalju II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kaitseliit

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Kaitseliit haven't matched Kalju II's recent run of results.
  • Kaitseliit are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Kalju II arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Kalju II, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Kaitseliit Clean Sheet 10%
Kalju II Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kaitseliit Kalju II
Matches Played 13 31
Wins 4 12
Draws 0 5
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 2.62 1.58
Goals Conceded 2.69 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 23, 2008 Estonian Cup
Kaitseliit vs Kalju II
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kaitseliit 34 / 100
Kalju II 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kaitseliit Kalju II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Kaitseliit scored in 75% of their last 12 outings.

Kalju II has conceded goals in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Difficult form: Kalju II registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kaitseliit VS Kalju II
0 Goals Scored 1.25
3.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Kaitseliit

(Home)
19 Jun
Eston Villa
:
Kaitseliit
11 Aug
Tulevik
7 : 0
Kaitseliit
28 Jun
Kaitseliit
12 : 1
Kusimark
10 Jul
Kaitseliit
0 : 3
Tabasalu
05 Jun
Kadakas
0 : 2
Kaitseliit
Page 1 of 3

Kalju II

(Away)
14 Feb
Kalju II
0 : 2
Nomme Utd
25 Feb
Levadia Tallinn II
4 : 3
Kalju II
18 Feb
Kalju II
3 : 3
Elva
08 Nov
Kuressaare
2 : 3
Kalju II
31 Oct
Kalju II
0 : 3
FCI Tallinn II
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Flora 3
Johvi Phoenix 1
Elva B 2
Kalju II 3
Levadia 10
Tulevik Viljandi II 0
Tallinna Kalev 0
Narva 2
Sillamae Kalev 3
Kuressaare 1
FC Lootos Polva 0
Tammeka Tartu 2
Ganvix Turi 2
Toompea 0
Tulevik 1
Kalju 2
Quarter-finals
Flora 4
Kalju II 0
Levadia 1
Narva 3
Sillamae Kalev 3
Tammeka Tartu 0
Ganvix Turi 1
Kalju 4
Semi-finals
Flora 3
Narva 0
Sillamae Kalev 0
Kalju 1
Final
Flora 1
Kalju 0