Sport Picks
Kaitseliit vs Kusimark - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Estonia
Estonian Cup 2015/2016 
AI Match Summary
Kaitseliit in this Estonian Cup 2015/2016 tie, finishing 12-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
25%
35%
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Kaitseliit
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Kaitseliit lately — more wins on the board than Kusimark.
- Win probability leans Kaitseliit's way, sitting at 90%.
- Kaitseliit have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Kaitseliit, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 98%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 98%
Over 3.5 Goals 94%
Over 4.5 Goals 42%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Kaitseliit Clean Sheet 10%
Kusimark Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Kaitseliit | Kusimark |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 13 | 1 |
| Wins | 4 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 9 | 1 |
| Goals Scored | 2.62 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.69 | 12 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 28, 2015 Estonian Cup
Kaitseliit vs Kusimark
12:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Kaitseliit 83 / 100
Kusimark 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Kaitseliit Kusimark
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Kaitseliit Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Kusimark has conceded goals in 100% of their last 1 outings.
Historical meetings average 13.00 goals per match.
Kaitseliit found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (12 games).
Solid form: Kaitseliit remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Kaitseliit VS Kusimark
2.5 Goals Scored 1
3 Goals Conceded 12
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
88% Over 3.5 100%
Recent Form & Match History
Kaitseliit
(Home) 19 Jun
Eston Villa
: Kaitseliit
11 Aug
Tulevik
7 : 0 Kaitseliit
28 Jun
Kaitseliit
12 : 1 Kusimark
10 Jul
Kaitseliit
0 : 3 Tabasalu
05 Jun
Kadakas
0 : 2 Kaitseliit
Page 1 of 3
28 Jun
Kaitseliit
12 : 1 Kusimark
10 Jul
Kaitseliit
0 : 3 Tabasalu
09 Jul
Kaitseliit
2 : 7 Viljandi
20 Jul
Kaitseliit
7 : 0 Velldoris
23 Jul
Kaitseliit
2 : 3 Kalju II
Kusimark
(Away) 28 Jun
Kaitseliit
12 : 1 Kusimark
28 Jun
Kaitseliit
12 : 1 Kusimark
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Flora -
TBD -
Lasnamae 1
Flora Tallinn U21 4
Tallinna Dnipro -
TBD -
TBD -
Tartu JK Welco -
Kalju III 3
Tartu Ulikool 2
TBD -
Otepaa -
Lootos FCR -
TBD -
FCP Parnu 5
Retro 7
Nomme Utd 9
Kohtla-Nomme 1
Igiliikur 1
Ganvix Turi 3
Jogeva 9
JK Jalgpallihaigla 1
Rapla 2
Metropool Parnu 6
Kuressaare 20
Rapla Lokomotiiv 0
IceBears 1
SK Taaksi 10
JK Poseidon 3
Rumori Calcio 2
TBD -
Santos Tartu -
Torva JK 7
Raasiku Valla 1
TBD -
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve -
Fellin -
TBD -
TBD -
SK EPMU Tartu -
Tallinna Kalev III -
TBD -
TBD -
Loo JK -
Jarva-Jaani -
TBD -
Valga Warrior 0
Navi Vutiselts 4
Parnu Linnameeskond -
TBD -
TBD -
Laanemaa Haapsalu -
Maardu United 4
Narva United 3
Harju JK Laagri 1
FCI Tallinn II 5
Viimsi JK 2
Tallinna Kalev 1
TBD -
Oismae Torm -
Maardu Linnameeskond 3
Flora U19 0
Kose 0
Tammeka Tartu 4
Sillamae Kalev -
TBD -
TransferWise 1
Marjamaa 2
Tallinna Jalgpalliselts -
TBD -
Raudteetoolised 0
Paide Linnameeskond 31
Merkuur Tartu -
TBD -
Raasiku Joker 3
Rada Kuusalu 4
Olympic Tallinn 2
Pedajamae 0
Kadakas 0
Levadia 8
Tulevik 2
Keila JK 1
Kusimark 1
Kaitseliit 12
Tallinn Piraaja 2
Castovanni Eagles 0
Virtsu 0
FCI Tallinn 36
Narva 14
Eestimaa Kasakad 0
Twister Tallinn 2
Imavere Forss 6
Tallinn CF 4
Elva 3
TBD -
Kalju -
Tallinn Forza 3
Saue JK Laagri 0
Tabasalu 1
Roosu 4
Ambla -
TBD -
TBD -
Rakvere -
Tabivere -
TBD -
Helios 0
Pirita 5
Maardu Starbunker II -
TBD -
Reaal 1
Vaatsa Vald 2
Vastseliina Tannem 4
Tallinna Depoo 2
Moe 0
Lelle 1
Like & Share 2
Jogeva Wolves 1
Puhkus Mehhikos 1
Soccernet 2
Eston Villa 2
FC Tartu 1
TBD -
Legion -
Bronx Wood 5
Roosad Pantrid 0
TBD -
Viimsi MRJK -
1/32-finals
Flora 3
Flora Tallinn U21 1
Tallinna Dnipro 0
Tartu JK Welco 3
Kalju III 4
Otepaa 1
Lootos FCR 0
Retro 12
Nomme Utd 4
Ganvix Turi 3
Jogeva 1
Metropool Parnu 4
Kuressaare 4
SK Taaksi 2
JK Poseidon 0
Santos Tartu 11
Torva JK 1
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve 0
Fellin 1
SK EPMU Tartu 5
Tallinna Kalev III 1
Loo JK 0
Jarva-Jaani 1
Navi Vutiselts 2
Parnu Linnameeskond 1
Laanemaa Haapsalu 0
Maardu United 1
FCI Tallinn II 4
Viimsi JK 6
Oismae Torm 0
Maardu Linnameeskond 1
Tammeka Tartu 5
Sillamae Kalev 6
Marjamaa 1
Tallinna Jalgpalliselts 0
Paide Linnameeskond 13
Merkuur Tartu 4
Rada Kuusalu 2
Olympic Tallinn 0
Levadia 14
Tulevik 7
Kaitseliit 0
Tallinn Piraaja 0
FCI Tallinn 8
Narva 12
Imavere Forss 0
Tallinn CF 0
Kalju 3
Tallinn Forza 7
Roosu 2
Ambla 0
Rakvere 10
Tabivere 1
Pirita 0
Maardu Starbunker II 0
Vaatsa Vald 3
Vastseliina Tannem 2
Lelle 0
Like & Share 2
Soccernet 4
Eston Villa 5
Legion 1
Bronx Wood 1
Viimsi MRJK 3
1/16-finals
Flora 2
Tartu JK Welco 0
Kalju III 1
Retro 2
Nomme Utd 8
Metropool Parnu 0
Kuressaare 3
Santos Tartu 4
Torva JK 2
SK EPMU Tartu 1
Tallinna Kalev III 1
Navi Vutiselts 3
Parnu Linnameeskond 3
FCI Tallinn II 0
Viimsi JK 0
Tammeka Tartu 1
Sillamae Kalev 4
Paide Linnameeskond 3
Merkuur Tartu 1
Levadia 13
Tulevik 2
FCI Tallinn 1
Narva 1
Kalju 2
Tallinn Forza 4
Rakvere 0
Tabivere 4
Vaatsa Vald 7
Vastseliina Tannem 5
Soccernet 0
Eston Villa 2
Viimsi MRJK 3
1/8-finals
Flora 17
Retro 0
Nomme Utd 2
Santos Tartu 3
Torva JK 7
Navi Vutiselts 0
Parnu Linnameeskond 1
Tammeka Tartu 2
Sillamae Kalev 1
Levadia 0
Tulevik 0
Kalju 5
Tallinn Forza 6
Vaatsa Vald 2
Vastseliina Tannem 0
Viimsi MRJK 4
Quarter-finals
Flora 3
Santos Tartu 1
Torva JK 0
Tammeka Tartu 2
Sillamae Kalev 1
Kalju 0
Tallinn Forza 1
Viimsi MRJK 6
Semi-finals
Flora 2
Tammeka Tartu 0
Sillamae Kalev 2
Viimsi MRJK 0
Final
Flora 3
Sillamae Kalev 0
