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Kalaa vs Djelma - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Tunisia Tunisia

Ligue 2 2025/2026
Kalaa Logo

Kalaa

1 - 0
FT
Djelma Logo

Djelma

Our Tip

Match Events

60' Event
Oueslati M.
90'
Ilahi A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Kalaa in this Ligue 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kalaa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Kalaa
15%
Draws
34%
Djelma
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kalaa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Kalaa at 1.03 per game, Djelma at 0.8.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Ligue 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Djelma here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Kalaa Clean Sheet 16%
Djelma Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kalaa Djelma
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 9
Draws 3 8
Losses 17 13
Goals Scored 1.03 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Ligue 2
Kalaa vs Djelma
1:0
Nov 16, 2025 Ligue 2
Djelma vs Kalaa
1:0
Jan 19, 2025 Tunisia Cup
Kalaa vs Djelma
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kalaa Compare

Top Goalscorer Oueslati M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Djelma Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kalaa 31 / 100
Djelma 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kalaa Djelma

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Djelma has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 1.67 goals as a typical output.

Djelma lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Kalaa scored in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Kalaa VS Djelma
1 Goals Scored 0.75
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Kalaa

(Home)
04 Oct
Kalaa
0 : 1
JS Kairouan
27 Sept
CO Medenine
1 : 2
Kalaa
12 Sept
Kerkennah
5 : 0
Kalaa
12 May
Kalaa
1 : 3
Jendouba Sport
02 May
Ksour Essef
1 : 2
Kalaa
Page 1 of 6

Djelma

(Away)
12 May
Djelma
0 : 0
Stade Gabesien
02 May
Korba
1 : 0
Djelma
28 Apr
PS Sakiet Eddaier
4 : 1
Djelma
19 Apr
Djelma
1 : 0
Kasserine
11 Apr
Kalaa
1 : 0
Djelma
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hamam-Sousse 26 15 6 5 40:19 51
2 Hammam-Lif 26 15 6 5 36:14 51
3 US Tataouine 26 15 6 5 34:16 51
4 Sfax Railways 26 13 7 6 35:26 46
5 Sporting Ben Arous 26 8 10 8 30:19 34
6 Kerkennah 26 8 10 8 27:27 34
7 Chebba 26 8 9 9 33:37 33
8 Msaken 26 7 10 9 23:28 31
9 BS Bouhajla 26 7 9 10 21:23 30
10 Megrine 26 7 9 10 25:35 30
11 EM Mahdia 26 6 10 10 18:25 28
12 AS Agareb 26 7 7 12 22:33 28
13 Bousalem 26 6 7 13 19:34 25
14 Menzel Bourguiba 26 3 8 15 15:42 17
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PS Sakiet Eddaier 26 16 8 2 54:15 56
2 Stade Gabesien 26 15 8 3 43:16 53
3 Kasserine 26 14 5 7 31:18 47
4 Jendouba Sport 26 9 11 6 34:24 38
5 Korba 26 9 10 7 21:20 37
6 Bouchamma 26 9 8 9 35:30 35
7 Gafsa 26 9 7 10 28:31 34
8 Ariana 26 8 8 10 26:32 32
9 Ksour Essef 26 9 5 12 40:34 32
10 Redeyef 26 8 8 10 27:39 32
11 Kalaa 26 9 3 14 28:44 30
12 Moknine 26 7 8 11 29:36 29
13 Djelma 26 6 8 12 16:33 26
14 Sidi Bouzid 26 3 5 18 17:57 14
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)