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Kalaa vs Kasserine - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Tunisia Tunisia

Ligue 2 2025/2026
Kalaa Logo

Kalaa

0 - 4
FT
Kasserine Logo

Kasserine

Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Zitouni C.
30' Event
Ferjani W.
45' Event
Chelli M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 2 2025/2026 game between Kalaa and Kasserine finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kasserine.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Kalaa
15%
Draws
51%
Kasserine
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kasserine

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kasserine come out ahead of Kalaa on wins alone.
  • Kasserine are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Ligue 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Kalaa Clean Sheet 14%
Kasserine Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kalaa Kasserine
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 16
Draws 3 4
Losses 17 9
Goals Scored 1.03 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.93 0.76
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Ligue 2
Kalaa vs Kasserine
0:4
Nov 2, 2025 Ligue 2
Kasserine vs Kalaa
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kalaa Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Kasserine Compare

Top Goalscorer Zitouni C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ferjani W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kalaa 19 / 100
Kasserine 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kalaa Kasserine

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kasserine Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Kasserine's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Kalaa's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Kalaa went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kalaa VS Kasserine
1 Goals Scored 0.88
2.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 38%
75% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Kalaa

(Home)
04 Oct
Kalaa
0 : 1
JS Kairouan
27 Sept
CO Medenine
1 : 2
Kalaa
12 Sept
Kerkennah
5 : 0
Kalaa
12 May
Kalaa
1 : 3
Jendouba Sport
02 May
Ksour Essef
1 : 2
Kalaa
Page 1 of 6

Kasserine

(Away)
04 Oct
Kasserine
1 : 0
Olympique Kef
27 Sept
Gafsa
1 : 2
Kasserine
25 May
Hammam-Lif
1 : 0
Kasserine
12 May
Kasserine
1 : 0
Ksour Essef
02 May
Redeyef
1 : 0
Kasserine
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hamam-Sousse 26 15 6 5 40:19 51
2 Hammam-Lif 26 15 6 5 36:14 51
3 US Tataouine 26 15 6 5 34:16 51
4 Sfax Railways 26 13 7 6 35:26 46
5 Sporting Ben Arous 26 8 10 8 30:19 34
6 Kerkennah 26 8 10 8 27:27 34
7 Chebba 26 8 9 9 33:37 33
8 Msaken 26 7 10 9 23:28 31
9 BS Bouhajla 26 7 9 10 21:23 30
10 Megrine 26 7 9 10 25:35 30
11 EM Mahdia 26 6 10 10 18:25 28
12 AS Agareb 26 7 7 12 22:33 28
13 Bousalem 26 6 7 13 19:34 25
14 Menzel Bourguiba 26 3 8 15 15:42 17
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PS Sakiet Eddaier 26 16 8 2 54:15 56
2 Stade Gabesien 26 15 8 3 43:16 53
3 Kasserine 26 14 5 7 31:18 47
4 Jendouba Sport 26 9 11 6 34:24 38
5 Korba 26 9 10 7 21:20 37
6 Bouchamma 26 9 8 9 35:30 35
7 Gafsa 26 9 7 10 28:31 34
8 Ariana 26 8 8 10 26:32 32
9 Ksour Essef 26 9 5 12 40:34 32
10 Redeyef 26 8 8 10 27:39 32
11 Kalaa 26 9 3 14 28:44 30
12 Moknine 26 7 8 11 29:36 29
13 Djelma 26 6 8 12 16:33 26
14 Sidi Bouzid 26 3 5 18 17:57 14
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)