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Kalaa vs Oued Ellil

Tunisia Tunisia

Ligue 2 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Jouini M.
63' Event
Ben Salah M.
83' Event
Moussa J.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 2 2024/2025 game between Kalaa and Oued Ellil finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Kalaa
30%
Draws
47%
Oued Ellil
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Oued Ellil

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Oued Ellil haven't matched Kalaa's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Oued Ellil a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Ligue 2 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Kalaa Clean Sheet 15%
Oued Ellil Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kalaa Oued Ellil
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 8
Draws 4 9
Losses 17 13
Goals Scored 1.07 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2025 Ligue 2
Kalaa vs Oued Ellil
2:2
Jan 4, 2025 Ligue 2
Oued Ellil vs Kalaa
1:0
May 26, 2024 Ligue 2
Kalaa vs Oued Ellil
3:0
Dec 9, 2023 Ligue 2
Oued Ellil vs Kalaa
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kalaa Compare

Top Goalscorer Ben Salah M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Moussa J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Oued Ellil Compare

Top Goalscorer Jouini M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Aouina H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kalaa 10 / 100
Oued Ellil 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kalaa Oued Ellil

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Oued Ellil Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Oued Ellil conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Kalaa found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Solid form: Kalaa remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Kalaa VS Oued Ellil
1.5 Goals Scored 1
2.13 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Kalaa

(Home)
12 Sept
Kerkennah
5 : 0
Kalaa
12 May
Kalaa
1 : 3
Jendouba Sport
02 May
Ksour Essef
1 : 2
Kalaa
28 Apr
Kalaa
2 : 2
Redeyef
22 Apr
Stade Gabesien
2 : 0
Kalaa
Page 1 of 6

Oued Ellil

(Away)
08 Feb
Sahline
2 : 1
Oued Ellil
24 May
Kalaa
2 : 2
Oued Ellil
17 May
Oued Ellil
2 : 1
EM Mahdia
10 May
Ariana
0 : 1
Oued Ellil
05 May
Oued Ellil
1 : 1
Hammam-Lif
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AS Marsa 26 15 8 3 40:17 53
2 Megrine 26 15 7 4 49:23 52
3 Jendouba Sport 26 14 7 5 38:19 49
4 Hamam-Sousse 26 8 12 6 36:28 36
5 Korba 26 9 9 8 22:28 36
6 Hammam-Lif 26 8 10 8 25:26 34
7 Msaken 26 7 12 7 18:17 33
8 Ariana 26 10 3 13 33:33 33
9 Kalaa 26 8 7 11 30:34 31
10 EM Mahdia 26 9 4 13 26:37 31
11 Moknine 26 7 9 10 27:30 30
12 Menzel Bourguiba 26 7 9 10 18:27 30
13 Oued Ellil 26 6 9 11 23:32 27
14 Rades 26 2 8 16 16:50 14
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 JS Kairouan 26 15 9 2 30:11 54
2 Kasserine 26 16 5 5 36:17 53
3 Kerkennah 26 12 8 6 36:21 44
4 Sfax Railways 26 12 8 6 35:22 44
5 PS Sakiet Eddaier 26 13 5 8 32:23 44
6 BS Bouhajla 26 9 6 11 21:22 33
7 Redeyef 26 10 3 13 23:25 33
8 Djelma 26 9 5 12 26:26 32
9 Sidi Bouzid 26 8 8 10 27:28 32
10 Chebba 26 9 5 12 24:29 32
11 Stade Gabesien 26 8 6 12 13:23 30
12 AS Agareb 26 7 9 10 23:35 30
13 ES Jerba 26 6 8 12 15:24 26
14 Espoir Rogba 26 3 5 18 19:54 13
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 (Main)