Sport Picks
Kalamata vs AEL Larissa
Greece
Greek Cup Kalamata Metropolitan Stadium, Kalamata 
AI Match Summary
The first leg ended 1-2. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Kalamata have averaged 1.79 scored and 0.75 conceded recently, against AEL Larissa's 1.04 scored and 1.36 conceded. Past meetings favor AEL Larissa slightly — 1-4-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 19, 2025, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 1.19 vs 1.56, favoring Kalamata. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Kalamata carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives AEL Larissa a 40% chance of winning this.
- Kalamata have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor AEL Larissa, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and AEL Larissa have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Kalamata | AEL Larissa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 19 | 6 |
| Draws | 5 | 12 |
| Losses | 4 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.79 | 1.04 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.75 | 1.36 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Kalamata found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (28 games).
AEL Larissa let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Kalamata went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Kalamata
(Home)AEL Larissa
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olympiacos Piraeus | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:2 | 6 |
| 2 | OFI Crete | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:0 | 4 |
| 3 | AEK | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 4 | Atromitos | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 5 | Panathinaikos | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 6 | Kalamata | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 7 | Kifisia | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 8 | Marko | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 9 | Aris | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 10 | Asteras Tripolis | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 11 | PAOK | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 12 | Volos | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | 1 |
| 13 | Panserraikos | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 14 | Niki Volos | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 15 | AEL Larissa | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:4 | 0 |
| 16 | Chrisoupolis | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:5 | 0 |
