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Kalamata vs Aris - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Greece Greece

Super League Theodoros Kolokotronis Stadium, Tripoli
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Match Events

41' Event
Bolivar J.
Assist: Mendes Moreira A.
44'
Kaloutsikidis P.
44'
Rodrigues

AI Match Summary

The Super League game between Kalamata and Aris finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aris.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Kalamata
15%
Draws
45%
Aris
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aris

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Kalamata carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Kalamata Clean Sheet 16%
Aris Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kalamata Aris
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 18 13
Draws 4 9
Losses 6 6
Goals Scored 1.71 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.96 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Super League
Kalamata vs Aris
2:3
Mar 18, 2006 Football League
Kalamata vs Aris
0:0
Nov 20, 2005 Football League
Aris vs Kalamata
1:0
Apr 28, 2001 Super League
Aris vs Kalamata
3:2
Jan 2, 2001 Super League
Kalamata vs Aris
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kalamata Compare

Top Goalscorer Bolivar J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vargas K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Aris Compare

Top Goalscorer Fabiano
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kalamata 36 / 100
Aris 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kalamata Aris

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aris Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Kalamata scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Aris has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Kalamata remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Kalamata VS Aris
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Kalamata

(Home)
28 Oct
Chrisoupolis
0 : 2
Kalamata
25 Oct
Olympiacos Piraeus
5 : 0
Kalamata
18 Oct
Kalamata
4 : 3
OFI Crete
12 Oct
PAOK
1 : 3
Kalamata
20 Sept
Kalamata
0 : 1
Panathinaikos
Page 1 of 6

Aris

(Away)
28 Oct
Panathinaikos
2 : 1
Aris
25 Oct
Aris
3 : 1
Atromitos
18 Oct
Kifisia
1 : 2
Aris
11 Oct
Aris
3 : 2
Volos
19 Sept
Aris
0 : 0
Iraklis FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olympiacos Piraeus 9 7 1 1 15:4 22
2 Panathinaikos 8 7 0 1 18:4 21
3 AEK 7 5 2 0 21:3 17
4 Aris 8 5 1 2 13:14 16
5 PAOK 8 5 0 3 16:11 15
6 OFI Crete 8 4 1 3 13:12 13
7 Kifisia 9 3 2 4 12:14 11
8 Kalamata 8 3 1 4 13:17 10
9 Iraklis FC 8 2 3 3 9:11 9
10 Panetolikos 8 3 0 5 8:16 9
11 Asteras Tripolis 8 1 3 4 7:15 6
12 Levadiakos 8 0 3 5 0:11 3
13 Atromitos 7 0 2 5 6:12 2
14 Volos 8 0 3 5 6:13 0
Promotion - Super League (Championship Group)
Promotion - Super League (Conference League Group)
Relegation - Super League (Relegation Group)