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Kalamata vs Panionios

Greece Greece

Super League 2
Our Tip

Match Events

82' Event
Vafeas N.
90' Event
Tselios I.

AI Match Summary

The Super League 2 game between Kalamata and Panionios finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kalamata.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Kalamata
15%
Draws
27%
Panionios
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kalamata

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

27% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kalamata come out ahead of Panionios on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Super League 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Kalamata Clean Sheet 29%
Panionios Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kalamata Panionios
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 23 18
Draws 3 6
Losses 2 5
Goals Scored 1.63 0.88
Goals Conceded 0.38 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Super League 2
Panionios vs Kalamata
0:1
Feb 15, 2026 Super League 2
Kalamata vs Panionios
0:2
Jan 11, 2026 Super League 2
Kalamata vs Panionios
2:0
Oct 26, 2025 Super League 2
Panionios vs Kalamata
1:1
Mar 30, 2025 Super League 2
Panionios vs Kalamata
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kalamata Compare

Top Goalscorer Vafeas N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tselios I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Panionios Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kalamata 38 / 100
Panionios 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kalamata Panionios

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kalamata scored in 93% of their last 28 games.

Kalamata went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Panionios's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Kalamata VS Panionios
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Kalamata

(Home)
28 Mar
Kalamata
1 : 0
Iraklis FC
21 Mar
Marko
0 : 0
Kalamata
15 Mar
Kalamata
1 : 0
Olympiacos Piraeus B
07 Mar
Panionios
0 : 1
Kalamata
01 Mar
Kalamata
2 : 0
Marko
Page 1 of 6

Panionios

(Away)
18 Jul
Pelister
0 : 8
Panionios
21 Mar
Panionios
3 : 0
Olympiacos Piraeus B
15 Mar
Marko
2 : 1
Panionios
07 Mar
Panionios
0 : 1
Kalamata
01 Mar
Olympiacos Piraeus B
2 : 1
Panionios
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iraklis FC 18 13 5 0 34:13 44
2 Niki Volos 18 11 6 1 41:10 39
3 Karditsa 18 12 3 3 25:10 39
4 Asteras Tripolis B 18 9 5 4 25:17 32
5 PAOK B 18 7 3 8 25:23 24
6 Kavala 18 6 5 7 16:22 23
7 Chrisoupolis 18 5 3 10 13:21 18
8 Kampaniakos 18 4 3 11 12:32 15
9 Giannina 18 2 4 12 10:24 10
10 Makedonikos Neapolis 18 1 3 14 8:37 6
Promotion - Super League 2 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Super League 2 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kalamata 18 16 2 0 44:10 50
2 Panionios 18 13 4 1 28:8 43
3 Marko 18 9 4 5 21:13 31
4 Olympiacos Piraeus B 18 8 3 7 23:26 27
5 Athens Kallithea 18 7 5 6 21:17 26
6 Ellas Syrou 18 6 6 6 25:18 24
7 PAE Egaleo 18 4 5 9 14:22 17
8 Ilioupoli 18 4 3 11 14:29 15
9 PAE Chania (Kissamikos) 18 3 3 12 11:28 12
10 Panargiakos 18 0 5 13 8:38 5
Promotion - Super League 2 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Super League 2 (Relegation Group)