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Kaliakra vs Septemvri Tervel - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kaliakra in this Third League - North-East 2017/2018 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kaliakra.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Kaliakra
20%
Draws
52%
Septemvri Tervel
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Septemvri Tervel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Septemvri Tervel have won more games recently than Kaliakra.
  • 52% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Kaliakra Clean Sheet 11%
Septemvri Tervel Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kaliakra Septemvri Tervel
Matches Played 30 37
Wins 8 27
Draws 4 6
Losses 18 4
Goals Scored 1.47 2.43
Goals Conceded 1.9 0.65
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 24, 2018 Third League - North-East
Kaliakra vs Septemvri Tervel
0:0
Aug 18, 2018 Third League - North-East
Septemvri Tervel vs Kaliakra
3:2
May 26, 2018 Third League - North-East
Kaliakra vs Septemvri Tervel
4:0
Mar 31, 2018 Third League - North-East
Septemvri Tervel vs Kaliakra
0:0
Nov 15, 2017 Third League - North-East
Kaliakra vs Septemvri Tervel
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kaliakra 30 / 100
Septemvri Tervel 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kaliakra Septemvri Tervel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Septemvri Tervel Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kaliakra found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Septemvri Tervel has conceded goals in 46% of their last 37 outings.

Kaliakra has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Septemvri Tervel
0 Goals Scored 2.5
0 Goals Conceded 0.5
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Kaliakra

(Home)
29 May
Kubrat
3 : 2
Kaliakra
24 May
Kaliakra
2 : 3
Topolite
19 May
Lokomotiv Ruse
4 : 1
Kaliakra
12 May
Kaliakra
3 : 2
Volov Shumen
05 May
Ustrem Donchevo
0 : 2
Kaliakra
Page 1 of 6

Septemvri Tervel

(Away)
03 Oct
Septemvri Tervel
3 : 0
Septemvri Dragoevo
26 Sept
Ustrem Donchevo
1 : 1
Septemvri Tervel
19 Sept
Septemvri Tervel
2 : 1
Fratria II
05 Sept
Septemvri Tervel
5 : 2
Devnya 2005
22 Aug
Septemvri Tervel
1 : 1
Volov Shumen
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dobrudzha 30 28 2 0 101:10 86
2 Suvorovo 30 20 4 6 81:21 64
3 Lokomotiv Ruse 30 15 6 9 49:31 51
4 Hitrino 30 14 9 7 43:36 51
5 Septemvri Tervel 30 14 4 12 48:49 46
6 Svetkavitsa 30 12 6 12 44:26 42
7 Kaliakra 30 12 6 12 40:43 42
8 Spartak Varna 30 10 6 14 43:61 36
9 Botev Novi Pazar 30 6 3 21 25:78 21
10 Kubrat 30 4 5 21 22:61 17
11 Benkovski Byala 30 3 3 24 20:100 12
Promotion - Vtora liga 2018/2019 (Main)