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Kalju II vs Kadakas

Estonia Estonia

Estonian Cup 2008/2009
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AI Match Summary

Kalju II in this Estonian Cup 2008/2009 tie, finishing 11-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Kalju II
15%
Draws
36%
Kadakas
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kalju II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Kadakas haven't matched Kalju II's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Kalju II a 49% chance of winning this.
  • Kalju II have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Kalju II, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Kalju II Clean Sheet 10%
Kadakas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kalju II Kadakas
Matches Played 32 21
Wins 13 7
Draws 5 0
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.88 2.1
Goals Conceded 1.66 4.81
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 20, 2008 Estonian Cup
Kalju II vs Kadakas
11:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kalju II 83 / 100
Kadakas 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kalju II Kadakas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kalju II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kadakas has conceded goals in 95% of their last 21 outings.

H2H data points to 11.00 goals as a typical output.

Kalju II's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Away concern: Kadakas has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Kalju II VS Kadakas
2.13 Goals Scored 3.5
2 Goals Conceded 3.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Kalju II

(Home)
14 Feb
Kalju II
0 : 2
Nomme Utd
25 Feb
Levadia Tallinn II
4 : 3
Kalju II
18 Feb
Kalju II
3 : 3
Elva
08 Nov
Kuressaare
2 : 3
Kalju II
31 Oct
Kalju II
0 : 3
FCI Tallinn II
Page 1 of 7

Kadakas

(Away)
03 Aug
Legion
13 : 0
Kadakas
30 Jun
Kadakas
3 : 4
TransferWise
02 Aug
Saku Sporting
6 : 0
Kadakas
27 Jul
Kuressaare
12 : 1
Kadakas
20 Jun
Kadakas
3 : 1
Maksatransport
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Flora 3
Johvi Phoenix 1
Elva B 2
Kalju II 3
Levadia 10
Tulevik Viljandi II 0
Tallinna Kalev 0
Narva 2
Sillamae Kalev 3
Kuressaare 1
FC Lootos Polva 0
Tammeka Tartu 2
Ganvix Turi 2
Toompea 0
Tulevik 1
Kalju 2
Quarter-finals
Flora 4
Kalju II 0
Levadia 1
Narva 3
Sillamae Kalev 3
Tammeka Tartu 0
Ganvix Turi 1
Kalju 4
Semi-finals
Flora 3
Narva 0
Sillamae Kalev 0
Kalju 1
Final
Flora 1
Kalju 0