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Kalju II vs Rakvere

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga 2015
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
67' Event

AI Match Summary

The Esiliiga 2015 game between Kalju II and Rakvere finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Kalju II
44%
Draws
20%
Rakvere
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Rakvere carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Kalju II Clean Sheet 17%
Rakvere Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kalju II Rakvere
Matches Played 30 44
Wins 11 12
Draws 5 7
Losses 14 25
Goals Scored 0 0.75
Goals Conceded 2 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 2.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2015 Esiliiga
Rakvere vs Kalju II
1:2
Aug 22, 2015 Esiliiga
Kalju II vs Rakvere
1:1
May 24, 2015 Esiliiga
Rakvere vs Kalju II
2:0
Apr 19, 2015 Esiliiga
Kalju II vs Rakvere
1:0
Oct 26, 2014 Esiliiga
Kalju II vs Rakvere
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kalju II 36 / 100
Rakvere 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kalju II Rakvere

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RAK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rakvere has conceded goals in 86% of their last 44 outings.

Kalju II's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Solid form: Kalju II remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Kalju II VS Rakvere
0 Goals Scored 0.75
2 Goals Conceded 2.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Flora Tallinn U2136226876:4072
2Levadia Tallinn II362259118:5771
3FCI Tallinn II3620610108:4866
4Rakvere3612111352:5347
5Kalju II361441850:5646
6Tallinna Kalev361371647:5946
7Kivioli Irbis361351860:8744
8Santos Tartu361261856:8342
9Vandra Vaprus361152043:8038
10Kuressaare361071948:9537