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Kalju II vs Santos Tartu

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga 2015
Our Tip

Match Events

59' Event
83' Event

AI Match Summary

The Esiliiga 2015 game between Kalju II and Santos Tartu finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kalju II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Kalju II
20%
Draws
38%
Santos Tartu
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kalju II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Kalju II haven't matched Santos Tartu's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Kalju II a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Kalju II here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Kalju II Clean Sheet 10%
Santos Tartu Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kalju II Santos Tartu
Matches Played 30 42
Wins 11 14
Draws 5 7
Losses 14 21
Goals Scored 0 1.88
Goals Conceded 2 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2015 Esiliiga
Kalju II vs Santos Tartu
2:0
Aug 28, 2015 Esiliiga
Santos Tartu vs Kalju II
1:2
May 27, 2015 Esiliiga
Santos Tartu vs Kalju II
1:2
Apr 15, 2015 Esiliiga
Kalju II vs Santos Tartu
0:4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kalju II 40 / 100
Santos Tartu 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kalju II Santos Tartu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santos Tartu's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 42 matches.

Kalju II's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: Kalju II remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Kalju II VS Santos Tartu
0 Goals Scored 1.88
2 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Flora Tallinn U2136226876:4072
2Levadia Tallinn II362259118:5771
3FCI Tallinn II3620610108:4866
4Rakvere3612111352:5347
5Kalju II361441850:5646
6Tallinna Kalev361371647:5946
7Kivioli Irbis361351860:8744
8Santos Tartu361261856:8342
9Vandra Vaprus361152043:8038
10Kuressaare361071948:9537