Sport Picks
Match Events
32'
32'
51'
51'
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
Velldoris in this Estonian Cup 2012/2013 tie, finishing 0-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
15%
51%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Velldoris
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
34%
/ Low Confidence
- Attack-wise there's a gap: Velldoris at 1.83 per game, Kalju III at 1.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
- Historical meetings favor Velldoris, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 58.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 26%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Kalju III Clean Sheet 10%
Velldoris Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Kalju III | Velldoris |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 11 | 6 |
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 8 | 3 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 3.73 | 3.67 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.46 | 2.67 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 22, 2012 Estonian Cup
Kalju III vs Velldoris
0:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Kalju III 29 / 100
Velldoris 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Kalju III Velldoris
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Kalju III Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Velldoris has conceded goals in 83% of their last 6 outings.
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Kalju III scored in 45% of their last 11 games.
Kalju III has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Kalju III VS Velldoris
1.25 Goals Scored 1.83
3.5 Goals Conceded 3.67
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 83%
50% Over 3.5 67%
Recent Form & Match History
Kalju III
(Home) 18 Jul
Laanemaa Haapsalu
6 : 0 Kalju III
10 Aug
Kalju III
0 : 5 Flora Tallinn U21
03 Sept
Retro
2 : 1 Kalju III
29 Jul
Kalju III
4 : 1 Otepaa
27 Jun
Tartu Ulikool
2 : 3 Kalju III
Page 1 of 3
10 Aug
Kalju III
0 : 5 Flora Tallinn U21
29 Jul
Kalju III
4 : 1 Otepaa
22 Jul
Kalju III
0 : 2 Velldoris
20 Jun
Kalju III
2 : 1 Akhtamar
21 Jul
Kalju III
0 : 2 Flora Tallinn U21
Page 1 of 2
Velldoris
(Away) 10 Oct
Ganvix Turi
8 : 1 Velldoris
05 Sept
Velldoris
3 : 2 FC Lootos Polva
22 Jul
Kalju III
0 : 2 Velldoris
19 Jun
Ajax Lasnamae II
2 : 5 Velldoris
20 Jul
Kaitseliit
7 : 0 Velldoris
Page 1 of 2
10 Oct
Ganvix Turi
8 : 1 Velldoris
22 Jul
Kalju III
0 : 2 Velldoris
19 Jun
Ajax Lasnamae II
2 : 5 Velldoris
20 Jul
Kaitseliit
7 : 0 Velldoris
19 Aug
Ganvix Turi
3 : 0 Velldoris
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Kalju 17
Eestimaa Kasakad 0
Tallinna Kalev 12
FC KIIU 3
Otepaa 2
Ulikool Tallinn 1
Tartu SK 10 II -
Leisi -
Pirita 0
Rapla 8
Saku Sporting 3
FC Balteco 1
Pokkeriprod 3
Soccernet 2
Levadia 12
Toompea 1994 0
Ajax Lasnamae II 2
Velldoris 5
Kalju III 2
Akhtamar 1
Paide Linnameeskond U21 -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Lootos Polva -
Kose 3
Kaitseliit II 2
TBD -
Nomme Utd -
Helios 0
Ambla 4
Ganvix Turi 3
JK Retro 2
Kohtla-Jarve JK Alko 1
Viljandi 2
Jogeva 3
Igiliikur 1
Quattromed II -
TBD -
TBD -
Rakvere -
Paide Linnameeskond -
TBD -
Haiba 4
Legion 3
Viimsi MRJK -
TBD -
Flora Tallinn U21 8
JK Jalgpallihaigla 1
JK Keskerakond 1
FCI Tallinn 14
Trummi 2
JK Visadus 6
Twister Tallinn 1
Kuressaare 2
FC Ararat 10
Vastseliina Tannem 0
Viimsi JK 9
Raasiku Joker 0
Lasnamae -
SK Taaksi -
SK EPMU Tartu 1
Tulevik 3
Tammeka Tartu 4
Johvi Phoenix 0
Narva -
TBD -
Levadia Tallinn III 0
Saue JK Laagri 3
Kadakas 3
Reaal 0
TBD -
Saaremaa -
Tallinna Kalev III 3
Maccabi 4
TBD -
Taebla -
Tallinna Kalev II 0
Olympic Tallinn 2
Quattromed 9
Look Tartu 0
Metropool Parnu 1
Kivioli Irbis 7
Dinamo Tallinn 2
Sorve 1
Tartu Ulikool 0
Kaitseliit 3
Tammeka Tartu II -
Rada Kuusalu -
Kohtla-Jarve Lootus 0
Puuma 1
TBD -
Valga Warrior -
Keila JK -
TBD -
TBD -
Sillamae Kalev -
Parnu Linnameeskond 4
JK Luunja 2
Rummu Dunamo 3
SaareMaa JK aaMeraaS 1
Kardla 3
Tabasalu 0
Navi Vutiselts 1
Lihula JK 0
PSK Alexela 2
Maardu Linnameeskond 4
Jarva-Jaani 3
Imavere Forss 2
Pubi Trehv -
TBD -
Castovanni Eagles 1
Voru 3
Elva -
TBD -
FC Hell Hunt 1
Elva 4
Koeru -
TBD -
Pohja-Sakala 3
FCI Tallinn II 1
Tallinn Piraaja 1
Tartu SK 10 5
Kristiine 2
Kalju II 3
Eston Villa 2
Lelle 0
Flora 12
Loo JK 0
1/32-finals
Kalju 4
Tallinna Kalev 0
Otepaa 0
Tartu SK 10 II 1
Rapla 4
Saku Sporting 3
Pokkeriprod 0
Levadia 18
Velldoris 2
Kalju III 0
Paide Linnameeskond U21 1
FC Lootos Polva 3
Kose 2
Nomme Utd 1
Ambla 1
Ganvix Turi 6
Viljandi 6
Jogeva 1
Quattromed II 0
Rakvere 8
Paide Linnameeskond 10
Haiba 0
Viimsi MRJK 0
Flora Tallinn U21 6
FCI Tallinn 1
JK Visadus 0
Kuressaare 2
FC Ararat 3
Viimsi JK 2
Lasnamae 0
Tulevik 0
Tammeka Tartu 3
Narva 6
Saue JK Laagri 0
Kadakas 1
Saaremaa 2
Maccabi 3
Taebla 1
Olympic Tallinn 1
Quattromed 5
Kivioli Irbis 5
Dinamo Tallinn 0
Kaitseliit 2
Rada Kuusalu 3
Puuma 1
Valga Warrior 0
Keila JK 0
Sillamae Kalev 6
Parnu Linnameeskond 2
Rummu Dunamo 1
Kardla 0
Navi Vutiselts 1
Maardu Linnameeskond 5
Jarva-Jaani 0
Pubi Trehv 1
Voru 2
Elva 6
Tartu JK Welco 1
Koeru 1
Pohja-Sakala 4
Tartu SK 10 4
Kalju II 3
Eston Villa 0
Flora 6
1/16-finals
Kalju 3
Tartu SK 10 II 0
Rapla 1
Levadia 17
Velldoris 3
FC Lootos Polva 2
Kose 2
Ganvix Turi 6
Viljandi 2
Rakvere 0
Paide Linnameeskond 0
Flora Tallinn U21 1
FCI Tallinn 5
FC Ararat 0
Viimsi JK 0
Tammeka Tartu 4
Narva -
Saaremaa -
Maccabi 2
Quattromed 9
Kivioli Irbis -
Rada Kuusalu -
Puuma 0
Sillamae Kalev 2
Parnu Linnameeskond 3
Navi Vutiselts 2
Maardu Linnameeskond 0
Voru 1
Elva 2
Pohja-Sakala 1
Tartu SK 10 1
Flora 9
1/8-finals
Kalju 4
Levadia 3
Velldoris 1
Ganvix Turi 8
Viljandi 3
Flora Tallinn U21 1
FCI Tallinn 1
Tammeka Tartu 2
Narva 7
Quattromed 1
Kivioli Irbis 0
Sillamae Kalev 1
Parnu Linnameeskond 4
Voru 2
Elva 0
Flora 2
Quarter-finals
Kalju 5
Ganvix Turi 0
Viljandi -
Tammeka Tartu -
Narva 2
Sillamae Kalev 1
Parnu Linnameeskond 0
Flora 6
Semi-finals
Kalju 5
Tammeka Tartu 1
Narva 0
Flora 3
Final
Kalju 1
Flora 3
