Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kalju U21 vs Elva Prediction & H2H Stats

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga Hiiu Stadium, Tallinn
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
09:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kalju U21 host Elva in the Esiliiga. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Elva have shipped 1.36 goals a game lately, while Kalju U21 have conceded 2.63 and scored 1.27. Past meetings favor Kalju U21 slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 6, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 0.76 vs 1.63, favoring Elva. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Kalju U21
15%
Draws
65%
Elva
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Elva

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Elva lately — more wins on the board than Kalju U21.
  • Win probability leans Elva's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Kalju U21 Clean Sheet 14%
Elva Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kalju U21 Elva
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 6 18
Draws 4 5
Losses 20 10
Goals Scored 1.27 1.79
Goals Conceded 2.63 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 0.76 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Esiliiga
Elva vs Kalju U21
1:0
Jul 5, 2026 Esiliiga
Kalju U21 vs Elva
2:2
May 2, 2026 Esiliiga
Elva vs Kalju U21
2:4
Oct 4, 2025 Esiliiga
Elva vs Kalju U21
0:1
Aug 30, 2025 Esiliiga
Kalju U21 vs Elva
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kalju U21 19 / 100
Elva 58 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kalju U21 Elva

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Elva Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kalju U21 found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Elva conceded in 69% of 32 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Kalju U21 went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kalju U21 VS Elva
0.63 Goals Scored 0.63
2.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 25%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Kalju U21

(Home)
21 Sept
Kalju U21
2 : 3
Nomme Utd U21
14 Sept
Tartu JK Welco
3 : 0
Kalju U21
10 Sept
Kalju U21
1 : 5
Flora Tallinn U21
06 Sept
Elva
1 : 0
Kalju U21
29 Aug
FC Tallinn
0 : 2
Kalju U21
Page 1 of 6

Elva

(Away)
24 Sept
Elva
3 : 2
Tallinna Kalev
19 Sept
Elva
1 : 1
FC Tallinn
13 Sept
Flora Tallinn U21
1 : 2
Elva
10 Sept
Viimsi JK
5 : 0
Elva
06 Sept
Elva
1 : 0
Kalju U21
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tartu JK Welco 30 19 5 6 81:39 62
2 Viimsi JK 30 15 5 10 56:31 50
3 Flora Tallinn U21 30 14 6 10 72:53 48
4 Elva 30 14 6 10 47:44 48
5 Maardu Linnameeskond 27 12 5 10 45:55 41
6 Levadia U21 29 13 2 14 60:55 41
7 Tallinna Kalev 29 10 7 12 52:55 37
8 Nomme Utd U21 30 10 6 14 50:62 36
9 FC Tallinn 29 7 8 14 35:63 29
10 Kalju U21 30 6 4 20 38:79 22
Promotion - Meistriliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B 2027 (Main)