Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kalju U21 vs Nomme Utd U21

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga Hiiu Stadium, Tallinn
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Kais J.
Own Goal
38' Event
Tamm S.
41' Event
Pihkva J.
Assist: Godwin C.

AI Match Summary

The Esiliiga game between Kalju U21 and Nomme Utd U21 finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kalju U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Kalju U21
15%
Draws
85%
Nomme Utd U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nomme Utd U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Nomme Utd U21 come out ahead of Kalju U21 on wins alone.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Nomme Utd U21 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Kalju U21 have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Kalju U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Nomme Utd U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kalju U21 Nomme Utd U21
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 10
Draws 4 7
Losses 18 12
Goals Scored 1.38 1.83
Goals Conceded 2.66 2.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 17, 2026 Esiliiga
Nomme Utd U21 vs Kalju U21
2:0
Jun 15, 2026 Esiliiga
Kalju U21 vs Nomme Utd U21
4:1
Apr 24, 2026 Esiliiga
Nomme Utd U21 vs Kalju U21
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kalju U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Pihkva J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Godwin C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Nomme Utd U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Tamm S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kalju U21 10 / 100
Nomme Utd U21 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kalju U21 Nomme Utd U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nomme Utd U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Nomme Utd U21 conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.33 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Kalju U21 scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Away concern: Nomme Utd U21 has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Kalju U21 VS Nomme Utd U21
0.63 Goals Scored 1.63
2.88 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Kalju U21

(Home)
23 Aug
Kalju U21
2 : 4
Tartu JK Welco
20 Aug
Kalju U21
0 : 3
Tallinna Kalev
17 Aug
Nomme Utd U21
2 : 0
Kalju U21
10 Aug
Flora Tallinn U21
3 : 0
Kalju U21
01 Aug
Kalju U21
1 : 4
Maardu Linnameeskond
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Nomme Utd U21

(Away)
24 Aug
Viimsi JK
4 : 1
Nomme Utd U21
20 Aug
FC Tallinn
1 : 1
Nomme Utd U21
17 Aug
Nomme Utd U21
2 : 0
Kalju U21
08 Aug
Nomme Utd U21
1 : 2
Levadia U21
01 Aug
Nomme Utd U21
2 : 1
Tartu JK Welco
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tartu JK Welco 25 17 3 5 74:35 54
2 Viimsi JK 25 13 5 7 47:25 44
3 Flora Tallinn U21 25 12 5 8 57:42 41
4 Elva 25 11 5 9 42:37 38
5 Maardu Linnameeskond 25 10 5 10 39:52 35
6 Tallinna Kalev 25 10 5 10 48:45 35
7 Levadia U21 25 11 1 13 47:48 34
8 Nomme Utd U21 25 7 6 12 43:56 27
9 FC Tallinn 25 6 7 12 31:54 25
10 Kalju U21 25 5 4 16 33:67 19
Promotion - Meistriliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B 2027 (Main)