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Kalju U21 vs Santos Tartu

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga 2018
Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Reinberg K.
18'
Porila A.
33'
Sub
Londak P. In: Domingues B.
Out: Londak P.

AI Match Summary

Santos Tartu in this Esiliiga 2018 matchup, with the score ending 0-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Santos Tartu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Kalju U21
22%
Draws
60%
Santos Tartu
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Santos Tartu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Santos Tartu lately — more wins on the board than Kalju U21.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Santos Tartu taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Kalju U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Santos Tartu Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kalju U21 Santos Tartu
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 10 11
Draws 6 6
Losses 19 13
Goals Scored 1.38 0
Goals Conceded 2.75 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2018 Esiliiga
Kalju U21 vs Santos Tartu
3:1
Jul 29, 2018 Esiliiga
Santos Tartu vs Kalju U21
4:0
May 20, 2018 Esiliiga
Kalju U21 vs Santos Tartu
0:5
Apr 22, 2018 Esiliiga
Santos Tartu vs Kalju U21
2:2
Nov 6, 2016 Esiliiga
Santos Tartu vs Kalju U21
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kalju U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Santos Tartu Compare

Top Goalscorer Porila A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Arst M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kalju U21 18 / 100
Santos Tartu 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kalju U21 Santos Tartu

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.40 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Kalju U21 scored in 74% of their last 35 outings.

Defensive concern: Santos Tartu conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Kalju U21 has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Kalju U21 VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
2.75 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Maardu Linnameeskond362916126:3888
2Flora Tallinn U21362187115:3171
3Levadia U21361871167:5661
4Elva3615101151:6455
5Rakvere3614101259:6052
6Tartu JK Welco361261844:7842
7Santos Tartu361181747:6841
8Tallinna Kalev U21361091737:5239
9Keila JK361052141:8835
10Kalju U2136562537:8921