Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kalju U21 vs Tallinna Kalev

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga Hiiu Stadium, Tallinn
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Petrunin D.
44' Event
Tomberg M.
45' Event
Sikk A.
Assist: Ilves R.

AI Match Summary

The Esiliiga game between Kalju U21 and Tallinna Kalev finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tallinna Kalev.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Kalju U21
20%
Draws
32%
Tallinna Kalev
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kalju U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Tallinna Kalev carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Tallinna Kalev a 32% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Kalju U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Tallinna Kalev Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kalju U21 Tallinna Kalev
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 6 11
Draws 4 6
Losses 19 11
Goals Scored 1.31 2.29
Goals Conceded 2.66 1.82
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 20, 2026 Esiliiga
Kalju U21 vs Tallinna Kalev
0:3
Jun 21, 2026 Esiliiga
Tallinna Kalev vs Kalju U21
5:1
Apr 27, 2026 Esiliiga
Kalju U21 vs Tallinna Kalev
0:4
Oct 2, 2016 Esiliiga
Kalju U21 vs Tallinna Kalev
3:1
Aug 13, 2016 Esiliiga
Tallinna Kalev vs Kalju U21
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kalju U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Tallinna Kalev Compare

Top Goalscorer Petrunin D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tomberg M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kalju U21 26 / 100
Tallinna Kalev 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kalju U21 Tallinna Kalev

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tallinna Kalev Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.40 goals per match.

Kalju U21's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Tallinna Kalev conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.

Tallinna Kalev's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Kalju U21 VS Tallinna Kalev
0.63 Goals Scored 1.88
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Kalju U21

(Home)
21 Sept
Kalju U21
2 : 3
Nomme Utd U21
14 Sept
Tartu JK Welco
3 : 0
Kalju U21
10 Sept
Kalju U21
1 : 5
Flora Tallinn U21
06 Sept
Elva
1 : 0
Kalju U21
29 Aug
FC Tallinn
0 : 2
Kalju U21
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Tallinna Kalev

(Away)
24 Sept
Elva
3 : 2
Tallinna Kalev
18 Sept
Tallinna Kalev
2 : 2
Flora Tallinn U21
10 Sept
Nomme Utd U21
2 : 1
Tallinna Kalev
05 Sept
Tallinna Kalev
1 : 1
Tartu JK Welco
29 Aug
Flora Tallinn U21
5 : 0
Tallinna Kalev
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tartu JK Welco 30 19 5 6 81:39 62
2 Viimsi JK 30 15 5 10 56:31 50
3 Flora Tallinn U21 30 14 6 10 72:53 48
4 Elva 30 14 6 10 47:44 48
5 Maardu Linnameeskond 27 12 5 10 45:55 41
6 Levadia U21 29 13 2 14 60:55 41
7 Tallinna Kalev 29 10 7 12 52:55 37
8 Nomme Utd U21 30 10 6 14 50:62 36
9 FC Tallinn 29 7 8 14 35:63 29
10 Kalju U21 30 6 4 20 38:79 22
Promotion - Meistriliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B 2027 (Main)