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Stadium Background

Kalju vs Eston Villa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Estonia Estonia

Estonian Cup 2024/2025 Hiiu Stadium, Tallinn
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kalju in this Estonian Cup 2024/2025 tie, finishing 11-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Kalju
15%
Draws
28%
Eston Villa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kalju

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Kalju lately — more wins on the board than Eston Villa.
  • Kalju are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Kalju have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Kalju, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Kalju Clean Sheet 20%
Eston Villa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kalju Eston Villa
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 15 12
Draws 5 0
Losses 11 18
Goals Scored 2.61 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.26 3.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 31, 2024 Estonian Cup
Kalju vs Eston Villa
11:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kalju 85 / 100
Eston Villa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kalju Eston Villa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kalju Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kalju scored in 87% of their last 31 games.

These sides typically produce 12.00 goals when they meet.

Eston Villa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Eston Villa's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Kalju VS -
2 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Kalju

(Home)
20 Sept
Tammeka Tartu
1 : 3
Kalju
12 Sept
Kalju
2 : 0
Narva
08 Sept
Kalju
1 : 2
Nomme Utd
05 Sept
Flora
2 : 1
Kalju
30 Aug
Kalju
2 : 3
Levadia
Page 1 of 7

Eston Villa

(Away)
26 Jul
Tabasalu Ulasabat
13 : 0
Eston Villa
31 Jul
Kalju
11 : 1
Eston Villa
22 Aug
Nomme Utd
11 : 1
Eston Villa
21 Jun
Eston Villa
3 : 0
Marjamaa Kompanii
29 Jun
FCI Tallinn
3 : 1
Eston Villa
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Kubik -
TBD -
TBD -
Marjamaa Kompanii -
FC Hell Hunt -
TBD -
Tallinna Kalev III 0
Tabasalu 6
Saku Sporting -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Tallinn -
Tallinna GameSport -
TBD -
TBD -
Tammeka Tartu -
Tallinna Kalev -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
EstHam United -
TBD -
TBD -
Inter Tartu -
Kristiine -
TBD -
Legion 3
Raplamaa 1
Johvi Phoenix -
TBD -
TBD -
Kohvile -
Maksatransport -
TBD -
TBD -
Parnu -
Tamper 4
JK Poseidon 1
TBD -
Tartu JK Welco 2 -
Tartu JK Welco -
TBD -
Flora Tallinn U21 4
Saue JK Laagri 0
Kalju -
TBD -
TBD -
Eston Villa -
Flora -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Paide Linnameeskond -
Maardu Aliens -
TBD -
Viimsi JK 0
Kuressaare 1
Kose 1
Tartu Kalev 6
TBD -
Pelgu City -
Loo JK -
TBD -
TBD -
Helm -
Tallinna Wolves -
TBD -
TBD -
Elva -
Levadia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tulevik 2
Zealot Sporting 1
TBD -
Jarva-Jaani -
Kuusalu Kalev -
TBD -
TBD -
Tartu Helios -
Saae Latte -
TBD -
TBD -
Hiiumaa -
Flora U19 -
TBD -
TBD -
Tallinna Kalev U21 -
Tallinna FC Zapoos -
TBD -
TBD -
Sillamae Silmet -
TransferWise -
TBD -
Kose II 0
Harju JK Laagri 26
Nomme Utd -
TBD -
Kohtla-Jarve Linnameeskond 4
Soccernet 0
Narva -
TBD -
TBD -
Arukula Vigri -
FC Lootos Polva -
TBD -
TBD -
Tallinna Starmedia -
Parnu JK Vaprus -
TBD -
TBD -
Olympic Tallinn -
Tallinna Smsraha -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Ararat -
Vastseliina Tannem 5
Vana Hea Puur 0
TBD -
Tabasalu Ulasabat -
Laanemaa Haapsalu -
TBD -
TBD -
Rumori Calcio -
1/32-finals
Kubik 3
Marjamaa Kompanii 4
FC Hell Hunt 1
Tabasalu 3
Saku Sporting 1
FC Tallinn 2
Tallinna GameSport 0
Tammeka Tartu 24
Tallinna Kalev -
TBD -
EstHam United 0
Inter Tartu 4
Kristiine 0
Legion 5
Johvi Phoenix 3
Kohvile 1
Maksatransport 3
Parnu 1
Tamper 3
Tartu JK Welco 2 1
Tartu JK Welco 2
Flora Tallinn U21 3
Kalju 11
Eston Villa 1
Flora -
TBD -
TBD -
Paide Linnameeskond -
Maardu Aliens 0
Kuressaare 12
Tartu Kalev 7
Pelgu City 0
Loo JK 2
Helm 4
Tallinna Wolves 0
Elva 8
Levadia -
TBD -
Tulevik 3
Jarva-Jaani 0
Kuusalu Kalev 0
Tartu Helios 4
Saae Latte 2
Hiiumaa 6
Flora U19 0
Tallinna Kalev U21 6
Tallinna FC Zapoos 4
Sillamae Silmet 3
TransferWise 0
Harju JK Laagri 15
Nomme Utd 9
Kohtla-Jarve Linnameeskond 0
Narva 7
Arukula Vigri 0
FC Lootos Polva 0
Tallinna Starmedia 3
Parnu JK Vaprus 11
Olympic Tallinn 0
Tallinna Smsraha 1
FC Ararat 3
Vastseliina Tannem 1
Tabasalu Ulasabat 5
Laanemaa Haapsalu 5
Rumori Calcio 1
1/16-finals
Marjamaa Kompanii 0
Tabasalu 2
FC Tallinn 2
Tammeka Tartu 1
Tallinna Kalev 14
Inter Tartu 0
Legion 4
Johvi Phoenix 3
Maksatransport 0
Tamper 3
Flora Tallinn U21 0
Kalju 7
Flora 0
Paide Linnameeskond 2
Kuressaare 7
Tartu Kalev 0
Helm 1
Elva 5
Levadia 8
Tulevik 1
Tartu Helios 1
Hiiumaa 3
Tallinna Kalev U21 2
Tallinna FC Zapoos 5
Harju JK Laagri 3
Nomme Utd 0
Narva 6
Tallinna Starmedia 1
Parnu JK Vaprus 10
FC Ararat 0
Tabasalu Ulasabat 1
Laanemaa Haapsalu 6
1/8-finals
Tabasalu 1
FC Tallinn 3
Tallinna Kalev 3
Legion 0
Tamper 0
Kalju 9
Paide Linnameeskond 2
Kuressaare 1
Elva 1
Levadia 3
Hiiumaa 2
Tallinna FC Zapoos 3
Harju JK Laagri 0
Narva 3
Parnu JK Vaprus 3
Laanemaa Haapsalu 0
Quarter-finals
FC Tallinn 0
Tallinna Kalev 5
Kalju 1
Paide Linnameeskond 0
Levadia 7
Tallinna FC Zapoos 0
Narva 3
Parnu JK Vaprus 1
Semi-finals
Tallinna Kalev 0
Kalju 5
Levadia 1
Narva 0
Final
Kalju 4
Levadia 3