Sport Picks

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Kalju vs Flora

Estonia Estonia

Meistriliiga Hiiu Stadium, Tallinn
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kalju host Flora in the Meistriliiga. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Kalju have averaged 2.03 scored and 1.2 conceded recently, against Flora's 2.1 scored and 1.37 conceded. Past meetings favor Kalju slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 5, 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (2.44 xG vs 1.38) point toward Flora. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Kalju
15%
Draws
58%
Flora
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Flora

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Flora come out ahead of Kalju on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Kalju Clean Sheet 17%
Flora Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kalju Flora
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 18
Draws 6 3
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 2.03 2.1
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Meistriliiga
Flora vs Kalju
2:1
May 10, 2026 Meistriliiga
Kalju vs Flora
0:1
Mar 15, 2026 Meistriliiga
Flora vs Kalju
0:1
Feb 28, 2026 Super Cup
Flora vs Kalju
1:3
Sep 28, 2025 Meistriliiga
Kalju vs Flora
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kalju 31 / 100
Flora 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kalju Flora

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Flora Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kalju's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Flora has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Kalju went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kalju VS Flora
2.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Kalju

(Home)
20 Sept
Tammeka Tartu
1 : 3
Kalju
12 Sept
Kalju
2 : 0
Narva
08 Sept
Kalju
1 : 2
Nomme Utd
05 Sept
Flora
2 : 1
Kalju
30 Aug
Kalju
2 : 3
Levadia
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Flora

(Away)
20 Sept
Flora
3 : 2
Parnu JK Vaprus
12 Sept
Nomme Utd
2 : 3
Flora
08 Sept
Narva
2 : 2
Flora
05 Sept
Flora
2 : 1
Kalju
02 Sept
Flora
3 : 2
Tammeka Tartu
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Levadia 29 22 6 1 81:21 72
2 Flora 29 18 1 10 59:39 55
3 Paide Linnameeskond 29 15 6 8 48:36 51
4 Kalju 29 15 5 9 52:27 50
5 Tammeka Tartu 29 14 2 13 37:47 44
6 Harju JK Laagri 29 11 2 16 40:47 35
7 Parnu JK Vaprus 29 10 4 15 39:57 34
8 Kuressaare 29 8 5 16 31:49 29
9 Nomme Utd 29 9 1 19 47:68 28
10 Narva 29 5 4 20 22:65 19
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga 2027 (Main)