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Kalju vs Paide Linnameeskond

Estonia Estonia

Meistriliiga Hiiu Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kalju play Paide Linnameeskond in the Meistriliiga. It looks like a close match. Recently, Kalju averaged 1.89 goals scored and 0.96 conceded. Paide Linnameeskond averaged 1.84 goals scored and 1.22 conceded. In past meetings, Kalju won 0, Paide Linnameeskond won 2, and they drew 3. Their last match on Jun 28, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for Kalju and 1.19 for Paide Linnameeskond. This points to a Paide Linnameeskond double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Kalju
33%
Draws
34%
Paide Linnameeskond
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Paide Linnameeskond

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Kalju picked up more points recently compared to Paide Linnameeskond.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.31 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 78%
Over 2.5 Goals 54%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62%
Kalju Clean Sheet 20%
Paide Linnameeskond Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 70%
Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kalju Paide Linnameeskond
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 15 17
Draws 6 7
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 1.89 1.84
Goals Conceded 0.96 1.22
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2026 Meistriliiga
Kalju vs Paide Linnameeskond
1:1
Jun 14, 2026 Meistriliiga
Kalju vs Paide Linnameeskond
1:1
Apr 19, 2026 Meistriliiga
Paide Linnameeskond vs Kalju
1:0
Feb 14, 2026 Club Friendly
Paide Linnameeskond vs Kalju
2:1
Nov 8, 2025 Meistriliiga
Kalju vs Paide Linnameeskond
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kalju Compare

Top Goalscorer Baptista T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Paide Linnameeskond Compare

Top Goalscorer Piht K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kalju 34 / 100
Paide Linnameeskond 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kalju Paide Linnameeskond

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Paide Linnameeskond or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +32%
4.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.3%
2.08
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Kalju attacking → ← attacking Paide Linnameeskond

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kalju scored in 93% of their last 28 games.

Paide Linnameeskond let in goals in 69% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Kalju went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Paide Linnameeskond lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

51 Points in last 5 58
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Levadia18134146:1543
2Flora18120638:1936
3Kalju1894530:1531
4Paide Linnameeskond1885527:2229
5Tammeka Tartu1672718:2023
6Parnu JK Vaprus1772821:3123
7Nomme Utd17611033:4019
8Harju JK Laagri17611021:3019
9Kuressaare18521117:3017
10Narva17311311:4010