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Kalju vs RFS

World World

Club Friendly
Fri, Jan 30, 2026
VS
09:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kalju host RFS in the Club Friendly. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. RFS have shipped 0.82 goals a game lately, while Kalju have conceded 1.2 and scored 2.03. Past meetings favor RFS slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 30, 2026, ending 1:2. The numbers (2.00 xG vs 1.69) point toward RFS. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Kalju
20%
Draws
46%
RFS
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: RFS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • RFS carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Kalju Clean Sheet 13%
RFS Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kalju RFS
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 13 24
Draws 6 5
Losses 11 4
Goals Scored 2.03 2.27
Goals Conceded 1.2 0.82
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 30, 2026 Club Friendly
Kalju vs RFS
1:2
Jan 30, 2026 Club Friendly
Kalju vs RFS
0:0
Jan 17, 2026 Club Friendly
Kalju vs RFS
0:2
Jan 15, 2025 Club Friendly
RFS vs Kalju
1:2
Jan 31, 2024 Club Friendly
RFS vs Kalju
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kalju 31 / 100
RFS 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kalju RFS

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RFS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kalju's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

RFS's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 33 matches.

Recent resilience: Kalju stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kalju VS RFS
2.63 Goals Scored 2
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Kalju

(Home)
20 Sept
Tammeka Tartu
1 : 3
Kalju
12 Sept
Kalju
2 : 0
Narva
08 Sept
Kalju
1 : 2
Nomme Utd
05 Sept
Flora
2 : 1
Kalju
30 Aug
Kalju
2 : 3
Levadia
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RFS

(Away)
20 Sept
FK Auda Riga
1 : 1
RFS
13 Sept
BFC Daugavpils
1 : 2
RFS
07 Sept
RFS
0 : 0
FK Liepaja
03 Sept
RFS
2 : 3
Riga FC
30 Aug
Ogre United
0 : 3
RFS
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