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Kalju vs Spartaks Jurmala

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Club Friendly 2022
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Asamoah K.
51' Event
Tamm A.
57' Event
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2022 game between Kalju and Spartaks Jurmala finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kalju.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Kalju
15%
Draws
58%
Spartaks Jurmala
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Spartaks Jurmala

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Spartaks Jurmala haven't matched Kalju's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Spartaks Jurmala a 58% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Kalju Clean Sheet 19%
Spartaks Jurmala Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kalju Spartaks Jurmala
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 9
Draws 6 3
Losses 11 18
Goals Scored 2.03 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.2 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 17, 2022 Club Friendly
Kalju vs Spartaks Jurmala
2:1
Feb 14, 2012 Club Friendly
Spartaks Jurmala vs Kalju
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kalju Compare

Top Goalscorer Tamm A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Spartaks Jurmala Compare

Top Goalscorer Asamoah K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kalju 28 / 100
Spartaks Jurmala 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kalju Spartaks Jurmala

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spartaks Jurmala Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kalju found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Spartaks Jurmala has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Kalju went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kalju VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Kalju

(Home)
20 Sept
Tammeka Tartu
1 : 3
Kalju
12 Sept
Kalju
2 : 0
Narva
08 Sept
Kalju
1 : 2
Nomme Utd
05 Sept
Flora
2 : 1
Kalju
30 Aug
Kalju
2 : 3
Levadia
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Spartaks Jurmala

(Away)
12 Nov
Tukums 2000
1 : 2
Spartaks Jurmala
06 Nov
FK Auda Riga
0 : 1
Spartaks Jurmala
29 Oct
Spartaks Jurmala
2 : 0
FK Metta
22 Oct
BFC Daugavpils
1 : 1
Spartaks Jurmala
16 Oct
Super Nova
1 : 3
Spartaks Jurmala
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