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Stadium Background

Kalju vs Tabasalu Ulasabat

Estonia Estonia

Estonian Cup 2023/2024 Hiiu Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Estonian Cup 2023/2024 game between Kalju and Tabasalu Ulasabat finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kalju.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Kalju
17%
Draws
70%
Tabasalu Ulasabat
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Tabasalu Ulasabat

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Kalju carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Tabasalu Ulasabat's way, sitting at 70%.
  • It's a cup tie, so expect more urgency than a normal Estonian Cup 2023/2024 game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Kalju Clean Sheet 20%
Tabasalu Ulasabat Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kalju Tabasalu Ulasabat
Matches Played 28 8
Wins 14 4
Draws 7 0
Losses 7 4
Goals Scored 1.88 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.75 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2023 Estonian Cup
Kalju vs Tabasalu Ulasabat
4:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kalju 16 / 100
Tabasalu Ulasabat 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kalju Tabasalu Ulasabat

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TAB Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kalju found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (28 games).

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Kalju has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Tabasalu Ulasabat conceded in 71% of 7 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Kalju VS Tabasalu Ulasabat
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Tartu JK Welco 2-
TBD-
Tartu Kalev9
FC Sssolutions0
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Levadia-
Tallinna Kalev III0
Legion10
TBD-
Johvi Phoenix-
Tammeka Tartu-
TBD-
TBD-
Imavere Forss-
Flora-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Parnu JK Vaprus-
TBD-
TBD-
FC Alliance-
Elva-
TBD-
TBD-
Saue JK Laagri-
Tervis Parnu-
TBD-
TBD-
FCP Parnu-
Maksatransport-
TBD-
TBD-
Loo JK-
Raplamaa-
TBD-
TBD-
Laanemaa Haapsalu-
Valga Warrior-
TBD-
TBD-
JK Poseidon-
Arukula Vigri-
TBD-
TBD-
Flora IV-
Maardu Aliens-
TBD-
TBD-
FC Tallinn-
Kristiine2
Kohvile3
Viimsi JK4
Paide Linnameeskond III0
Narva-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Pohja-Tallinna2
Rumori Calcio4
Zenit Tallinn3
Hiiumaa1
Tallinna Gorillad-
TBD-
TBD-
Tabasalu-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Paide Linnameeskond-
Helm-
TBD-
TBD-
Parnu-
Saku Sporting-
TBD-
TBD-
Tallinna Kalev U21-
Jogeva Wolves0
Kuressaare8
TBD-
Jarva-Jaani-
Sillamae Silmet-
TBD-
TBD-
Kose-
Flora Tallinn U21-
TBD-
Keila JK11
JK Jalgpallihaigla0
Legion II-
TBD-
TBD-
Soccernet-
Kalju-
TBD-
Tabasalu Ulasabat4
Flora U190
TransferWise1
Tallinna Wolves0
TBD-
Tulevik-
Rumori Calcio II-
TBD-
TBD-
Olympic Tallinn-
Harju JK Laagri-
TBD-
TBD-
Pelgu City-
Tallinna FC Zapoos-
TBD-
TBD-
Vandra Vaprus-
Tartu JK Welco-
TBD-
Tallinna Kalev20
Vana Hea Puur0
Drakon0
Nomme Utd12
TBD-
Tallinn Piraaja-
Eston Villa-
TBD-
TBD-
Marjamaa Kompanii-
1/32-finals
Tartu JK Welco 22
Tartu Kalev3
TBD-
Levadia-
Legion3
Johvi Phoenix0
Tammeka Tartu-
Imavere Forss-
Flora-
TBD-
Parnu JK Vaprus6
FC Alliance1
Elva1
Saue JK Laagri0
Tervis Parnu8
FCP Parnu3
Maksatransport5
Loo JK1
Raplamaa1
Laanemaa Haapsalu5
Valga Warrior1
JK Poseidon6
Arukula Vigri3
Flora IV2
Maardu Aliens-
FC Tallinn-
Kohvile0
Viimsi JK3
Narva-
TBD-
Rumori Calcio3
Zenit Tallinn8
Tallinna Gorillad0
Tabasalu16
TBD-
Paide Linnameeskond-
Helm2
Parnu0
Saku Sporting2
Tallinna Kalev U213
Kuressaare-
Jarva-Jaani-
Sillamae Silmet0
Kose4
Flora Tallinn U212
Keila JK0
Legion II3
Soccernet1
Kalju4
Tabasalu Ulasabat0
TransferWise0
Tulevik3
Rumori Calcio II0
Olympic Tallinn3
Harju JK Laagri12
Pelgu City0
Tallinna FC Zapoos6
Vandra Vaprus0
Tartu JK Welco0
Tallinna Kalev4
Nomme Utd4
Tallinn Piraaja0
Eston Villa3
Marjamaa Kompanii0
1/16-finals
Tartu Kalev2
Levadia6
Legion1
Tammeka Tartu3
Flora1
Parnu JK Vaprus0
Elva5
Tervis Parnu2
Maksatransport0
Laanemaa Haapsalu3
JK Poseidon2
Arukula Vigri3
FC Tallinn1
Viimsi JK2
Narva5
Zenit Tallinn0
Tabasalu1
Paide Linnameeskond3
Helm3
Tallinna Kalev U217
Kuressaare9
Kose1
Flora Tallinn U2113
Legion II0
Kalju5
Tulevik1
Olympic Tallinn0
Harju JK Laagri8
Tallinna FC Zapoos1
Tallinna Kalev4
Nomme Utd11
Eston Villa1
1/8-finals
Levadia4
Tammeka Tartu2
Flora10
Elva0
Laanemaa Haapsalu9
Arukula Vigri1
Viimsi JK1
Narva0
Paide Linnameeskond4
Tallinna Kalev U210
Kuressaare4
Flora Tallinn U212
Kalju3
Harju JK Laagri1
Tallinna Kalev3
Nomme Utd1
Quarter-finals
Levadia2
Flora1
Laanemaa Haapsalu0
Viimsi JK3
Paide Linnameeskond2
Kuressaare0
Kalju2
Tallinna Kalev1
Semi-finals
Levadia1
Viimsi JK0
Paide Linnameeskond3
Kalju1
Final
Levadia4
Paide Linnameeskond2