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Stadium Background

Kalju vs Tukums 2000

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Orlov M.
36'
Korre U.
49' Event
Koki Y.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Kalju and Tukums 2000 finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Kalju
15%
Draws
34%
Tukums 2000
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kalju

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kalju come out ahead of Tukums 2000 on wins alone.
  • Model gives Kalju a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Kalju Clean Sheet 20%
Tukums 2000 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kalju Tukums 2000
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 5
Draws 6 8
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 2.03 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.2 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 11, 2026 Club Friendly
Kalju vs Tukums 2000
2:2
Feb 12, 2025 Club Friendly
Kalju vs Tukums 2000
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kalju Compare

Top Goalscorer Orlov M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mannilaan M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Tukums 2000 Compare

Top Goalscorer Koki Y.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kalju 85 / 100
Tukums 2000 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kalju Tukums 2000

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kalju Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kalju scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Tukums 2000 conceded in 97% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Away concern: Tukums 2000 has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Kalju VS Tukums 2000
3.25 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Kalju

(Home)
20 Sept
Tammeka Tartu
1 : 3
Kalju
12 Sept
Kalju
2 : 0
Narva
08 Sept
Kalju
1 : 2
Nomme Utd
05 Sept
Flora
2 : 1
Kalju
30 Aug
Kalju
2 : 3
Levadia
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Tukums 2000

(Away)
20 Sept
Tukums 2000
1 : 1
Grobina
10 Sept
Super Nova
1 : 0
Tukums 2000
05 Sept
Tukums 2000
2 : 1
Ogre United
29 Aug
Tukums 2000
1 : 4
Jelgava
21 Aug
FK Auda Riga
3 : 0
Tukums 2000
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