Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kalmar vs Halmstad

Sweden Sweden

Allsvenskan Guldfågeln Arena, Kalmar
Our Tip

Match Events

17'
Damnjanovic A.
43'
Jansson R.
46'
Sub
R. Gojani In: Soderback M.
Out: R. Gojani

AI Match Summary

The Allsvenskan game between Kalmar and Halmstad finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kalmar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%
Kalmar
30%
Draws
8%
Halmstad
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Kalmar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kalmar come out ahead of Halmstad on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Kalmar's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Kalmar Clean Sheet 68%
Halmstad Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kalmar Halmstad
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 5
Draws 5 8
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.63 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.13 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Allsvenskan
Kalmar vs Halmstad
2:0
Mar 13, 2026 Club Friendly
Halmstad vs Kalmar
0:4
Mar 21, 2025 Club Friendly
Kalmar vs Halmstad
0:1
Sep 26, 2024 Allsvenskan
Halmstad vs Kalmar
2:2
May 4, 2024 Allsvenskan
Kalmar vs Halmstad
5:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kalmar Compare

Top Goalscorer Sagoe Jr C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Olusanya A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Halmstad Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kalmar 95 / 100
Halmstad 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kalmar Halmstad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Halmstad conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Kalmar's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Solid form: Kalmar remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Kalmar VS Halmstad
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Kalmar

(Home)
01 Aug
Hacken
1 : 1
Kalmar
25 Jul
Kalmar
2 : 1
Mjallby
20 Jul
Kalmar
2 : 2
Malmo FF
12 Jul
Hammarby
2 : 0
Kalmar
05 Jul
Kalmar
3 : 0
Orgryte
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Halmstad

(Away)
03 Aug
Halmstad
0 : 2
Sirius
26 Jul
GAIS
1 : 1
Halmstad
19 Jul
Halmstad
0 : 2
Hacken
13 Jul
Djurgarden
3 : 0
Halmstad
04 Jul
Halmstad
1 : 3
Vasteras SK
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sirius 15 13 2 0 42:17 41
2 Hammarby 15 8 3 4 33:15 27
3 Djurgarden 14 8 2 4 33:15 26
4 Hacken 15 6 7 2 28:23 25
5 Malmo FF 15 7 2 6 30:25 23
6 AIK 15 6 4 5 18:21 22
7 Vasteras SK 15 6 4 5 24:29 22
8 Elfsborg 15 5 6 4 20:18 21
9 GAIS 15 5 5 5 19:15 20
10 Kalmar 15 5 3 7 19:21 18
11 Mjallby 14 4 5 5 20:19 17
12 Brommapojkarna 15 4 5 6 20:24 17
13 IFK Goteborg 15 4 4 7 19:33 16
14 Orgryte 15 3 4 8 17:33 13
15 Degerfors 15 2 4 9 12:26 10
16 Halmstad 15 1 4 10 11:31 7
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Superettan 2027 (Main)