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Kalmar W vs Orebro SK W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Elitettan Women 2024 Gröndals IP, Kalmar
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Bertilius S.
38' Event
Finnman W.
48' Event
Ekstrand F.

AI Match Summary

The Elitettan Women 2024 game between Kalmar W and Orebro SK W finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kalmar W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Kalmar W
15%
Draws
57%
Orebro SK W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Orebro SK W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Orebro SK W come out ahead of Kalmar W on wins alone.
  • Model gives Kalmar W a 28% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Elitettan Women 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Kalmar W Clean Sheet 20%
Orebro SK W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kalmar W Orebro SK W
Matches Played 30 41
Wins 6 17
Draws 4 10
Losses 20 14
Goals Scored 1.07 1.66
Goals Conceded 2.57 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 29, 2024 Elitettan Women
Kalmar W vs Orebro SK W
3:2
Jun 30, 2024 Elitettan Women
Orebro SK W vs Kalmar W
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kalmar W Compare

Top Goalscorer Bertilius S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Finnman W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Orebro SK W Compare

Top Goalscorer Karlsson C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Arlebo M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kalmar W 49 / 100
Orebro SK W 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kalmar W Orebro SK W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kalmar W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Orebro SK W conceded in 76% of 41 recent games.

Away concern: Orebro SK W has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Kalmar W scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Orebro SK W
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Kalmar W

(Home)
10 Nov
Jitex W
2 : 1
Kalmar W
02 Nov
Kalmar W
0 : 5
IK Uppsala Fotboll W
19 Oct
Eskilstuna United W
1 : 3
Kalmar W
12 Oct
Kalmar W
1 : 2
Sundsvall W
05 Oct
Lidkoping W
1 : 0
Kalmar W
Page 1 of 6

Orebro SK W

(Away)
03 Oct
Hacken B W
2 : 3
Orebro SK W
30 Sept
Orebro SK W
0 : 7
Eskilstuna United W
25 Sept
Orebro SK W
2 : 0
Linkoping W
20 Sept
Orebro SK W
1 : 4
Jitex W
13 Sept
Orebro SK W
0 : 1
Gamla Upsala W
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Malmo FF W 26 21 2 3 70:23 65
2 Alingsas W 26 18 6 2 67:21 60
3 Umea W 26 16 3 7 56:34 51
4 IK Uppsala Fotboll W 26 15 1 10 48:31 46
5 Bollstanas W 26 13 4 9 46:35 43
6 Sunnana W 26 11 3 12 33:36 36
7 Mallbacken W 26 9 6 11 34:35 33
8 Jitex W 26 9 5 12 48:54 32
9 Eskilstuna United W 26 9 4 13 37:42 31
10 Gamla Upsala W 26 9 3 14 41:48 30
11 Orebro SK W 26 7 5 14 31:47 26
12 Lidkoping W 26 7 4 15 33:68 25
13 Sundsvall W 26 4 8 14 20:51 20
14 Kalmar W 26 5 4 17 25:64 19
Promotion - Allsvenskan Women 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Allsvenskan Women 2024 (Relegation - Play Offs)