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Kaluga vs Alania Vladikavkaz - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division A Gold Orbita stadium, Kaluga
Our Tip

Match Events

55' Event
Sychev Y.
58'
Sub
Nadolsky A. In: Mukhin E.
Out: Nadolsky A.
61'
Sub
Matyushenko I. In: Kobesov D.
Out: Matyushenko I.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this FNL 2 - Division A Gold matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Kaluga
35%
Draws
39%
Alania Vladikavkaz
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Alania Vladikavkaz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Alania Vladikavkaz have won more games recently than Kaluga.
  • Win probability leans Alania Vladikavkaz's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular FNL 2 - Division A Gold form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Kaluga Clean Sheet 21%
Alania Vladikavkaz Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kaluga Alania Vladikavkaz
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 7 9
Draws 10 10
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 0.93 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.04 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Kaluga vs Alania Vladikavkaz
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kaluga Compare

Top Goalscorer Sychev Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Alania Vladikavkaz Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kaluga 20 / 100
Alania Vladikavkaz 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kaluga Alania Vladikavkaz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alania Vladikavkaz Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alania Vladikavkaz's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Kaluga's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Kaluga has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Kaluga VS Alania Vladikavkaz
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Kaluga

(Home)
04 Oct
Rodina Moscow 2
3 : 0
Kaluga
27 Sept
Kaluga
1 : 2
Kirov
20 Sept
Sibir Novosibirsk
3 : 0
Kaluga
13 Sept
Kaluga
1 : 1
Dynamo Vladivostok
09 Sept
Kaluga
1 : 0
Ufa
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Alania Vladikavkaz

(Away)
04 Oct
Alania Vladikavkaz
2 : 0
Saratov
27 Sept
FC Volgar-Astrakhan
4 : 4
Alania Vladikavkaz
20 Sept
Alania Vladikavkaz
0 : 2
D. Bryansk
12 Sept
Sibir Novosibirsk
0 : 0
Alania Vladikavkaz
06 Sept
Alania Vladikavkaz
0 : 0
Dynamo Vladivostok
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rodina Moscow 2 12 8 2 2 23:10 26
2 Kirov 12 7 3 2 14:9 24
3 Sibir Novosibirsk 12 5 3 4 17:14 18
4 D. Bryansk 12 4 4 4 11:15 16
5 Alania Vladikavkaz 12 3 6 3 16:12 15
6 Dynamo Vladivostok 12 3 5 4 8:9 14
7 Mashuk 12 2 8 2 9:9 14
8 FC Volgar-Astrakhan 12 1 9 2 12:13 12
9 Saratov 12 1 6 5 10:19 9
10 Kaluga 12 0 6 6 6:16 6
Promotion - FNL 2 - Division A Gold (Spring Season)
Relegation - FNL 2 - Division A Silver (Spring Season)