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Kaluga vs Leningradets - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division A Gold 2025/2026 Orbita stadium, Kaluga
Our Tip

Match Events

32'
Yugaldin D.
38'
Chibisov S.
57'
Sub
Dushevskiy D. In: Emelyanov D.
Out: Dushevskiy D.

AI Match Summary

The FNL 2 - Division A Gold 2025/2026 game between Kaluga and Leningradets finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Leningradets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Kaluga
20%
Draws
51%
Leningradets
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Leningradets

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Leningradets come out ahead of Kaluga on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Kaluga taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Leningradets here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Kaluga Clean Sheet 16%
Leningradets Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kaluga Leningradets
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 7 11
Draws 10 6
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 0.93 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.04 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Kaluga vs Leningradets
0:1
Apr 4, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Leningradets vs Kaluga
1:0
Nov 3, 2024 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Kaluga vs Leningradets
1:3
Sep 9, 2024 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Leningradets vs Kaluga
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kaluga Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Leningradets Compare

Top Goalscorer Bachinskiy M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kaluga 36 / 100
Leningradets 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kaluga Leningradets

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leningradets's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Kaluga found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (28 games).

Kaluga has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Kaluga VS Leningradets
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Kaluga

(Home)
04 Oct
Rodina Moscow 2
3 : 0
Kaluga
27 Sept
Kaluga
1 : 2
Kirov
20 Sept
Sibir Novosibirsk
3 : 0
Kaluga
13 Sept
Kaluga
1 : 1
Dynamo Vladivostok
09 Sept
Kaluga
1 : 0
Ufa
Page 1 of 6

Leningradets

(Away)
03 Oct
Dynamo Makhachkala
3 : 2
Leningradets
26 Sept
Ulyanovsk
0 : 1
Leningradets
17 Sept
Pari Nizhny Novgorod
6 : 0
Leningradets
13 Sept
Leningradets
2 : 2
Tekstilshtik
09 Sept
Saratov
1 : 2
Leningradets
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Leningradets 18 10 4 4 23:23 34
2 Tekstilshtik 18 10 2 6 29:18 32
3 Sibir Novosibirsk 18 9 5 4 28:20 32
4 Veles Moscow 18 8 4 6 20:12 28
5 Mashuk 18 5 11 2 20:13 26
6 FC Volgar-Astrakhan 18 6 6 6 21:19 24
7 Kaluga 18 5 5 8 17:20 20
8 Rodina Moscow 2 18 4 7 7 20:23 19
9 Torpedo Miass 18 3 7 8 13:23 16
10 Irtysh Omsk 18 1 7 10 11:31 10
Promotion - FNL (Main)
Promotion - FNL 2 - Division A Gold 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - FNL 2 - Division A Silver (Fall Season)