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Stadium Background

Kaluga vs Leningradets

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division A Gold 2025/2026 Orbita stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

32'
Yugaldin D.
38'
Chibisov S.
57'
Sub
Dushevskiy D. In: Emelyanov D.
Out: Dushevskiy D.

AI Match Summary

The FNL 2 - Division A Gold 2025/2026 game between Kaluga and Leningradets finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Leningradets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Kaluga
6%
Draws
4%
Leningradets
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Kaluga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Leningradets come out ahead of Kaluga on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Kaluga taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Leningradets here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Kaluga Clean Sheet 20%
Leningradets Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kaluga Leningradets
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 12
Draws 7 6
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 0.63 1
Goals Conceded 0.63 2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Kaluga vs Leningradets
0:1
Apr 4, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Leningradets vs Kaluga
1:0
Nov 3, 2024 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Kaluga vs Leningradets
1:3
Sep 9, 2024 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Leningradets vs Kaluga
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kaluga Compare

Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Leningradets Compare

Top Goalscorer Bachinskiy M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kaluga 85 / 100
Leningradets 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kaluga Leningradets

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kaluga's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Leningradets has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Kaluga has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Kaluga VS Leningradets
0.63 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 2
38% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Leningradets18104423:2334
2Tekstilshtik18102629:1832
3Sibir Novosibirsk1895428:2032
4Veles Moscow1884620:1228
5Mashuk18511220:1326
6FC Volgar-Astrakhan1866621:1924
7Kaluga1855817:2020
8Rodina Moscow 21847720:2319
9Torpedo Miass1837813:2316
10Irtysh Omsk18171011:3110