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Kaluga vs Peresvet

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Stavtsev M.
29' Event
Kamenshchikov D.
56' Event
Sukhanov N.

AI Match Summary

The FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 2023 game between Kaluga and Peresvet finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kaluga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Kaluga
15%
Draws
0%
Peresvet
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kaluga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Kaluga carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Kaluga's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Kaluga Clean Sheet 18%
Peresvet Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kaluga Peresvet
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 11 5
Draws 10 3
Losses 13 22
Goals Scored 1 0
Goals Conceded 1.63 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 22, 2023 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Kaluga vs Peresvet
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kaluga Compare

Top Goalscorer Kamenshchikov D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Sukhanov N.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Peresvet Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kaluga 85 / 100
Peresvet 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kaluga Peresvet

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Peresvet let in goals in 97% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Peresvet's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Kaluga's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Kaluga VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Kaluga

(Home)
02 Aug
Kirov
1 : 0
Kaluga
26 Jul
Kaluga
0 : 1
Sibir Novosibirsk
19 Jul
Saratov
1 : 1
Kaluga
13 Jun
Kaluga
3 : 0
Mashuk
07 Jun
Sibir Novosibirsk
1 : 0
Kaluga
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Peresvet

(Away)
11 Nov
Peresvet
1 : 2
Krasnoye Znamya
05 Nov
Saturn Ramenskoye
3 : 1
Peresvet
28 Oct
Peresvet
1 : 2
Kosmos
22 Oct
Kaluga
5 : 0
Peresvet
16 Oct
Peresvet
1 : 3
Khimki 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kaluga 17 12 3 2 50:6 39
2 Sakhalinets 17 11 3 3 38:21 36
3 Spartak Tambov 17 10 3 4 26:22 33
4 Dynamo Vladivostok 17 10 0 7 30:21 30
5 Arsenal Tula 2 17 8 6 3 24:16 30
6 FK Kompozit 17 8 5 4 28:20 29
7 Saturn Ramenskoye 17 9 2 6 30:18 29
8 SKA Khabarovsk 2 17 8 1 8 30:29 25
9 Penza 17 7 4 6 22:26 25
10 Kosmos 17 6 5 6 24:28 23
11 Sakhalin 17 7 2 8 16:19 23
12 Kvant Obninsk 17 6 5 6 19:27 23
13 Krasnoye Znamya 17 6 4 7 18:26 22
14 Khimki 2 17 6 1 10 20:28 19
15 Ryazan 17 4 3 10 24:27 15
16 Strogino Moscow 17 3 5 9 28:36 14
17 FK Kolomna 17 1 5 11 17:41 8
18 Peresvet 17 2 1 14 21:54 7
Promotion - FNL 2 - Division A Silver 2023/2024 (Spring Season)