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Kaluga vs Sakhalinets

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Abdrashitov T.
79' Event
Vasichenko R.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Kaluga
15%
Draws
64%
Sakhalinets
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sakhalinets

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Sakhalinets have won more games recently than Kaluga.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Sakhalinets taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Kaluga Clean Sheet 20%
Sakhalinets Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kaluga Sakhalinets
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 9 15
Draws 12 5
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 25, 2023 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Kaluga vs Sakhalinets
1:1
May 28, 2023 FNL 2 - Group 3
Kaluga vs Sakhalinets
0:0
Apr 29, 2023 FNL 2 - Group 3
Sakhalinets vs Kaluga
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kaluga Compare

Top Goalscorer Abdrashitov T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Sakhalinets Compare

Top Goalscorer Vasichenko R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kaluga 10 / 100
Sakhalinets 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kaluga Sakhalinets

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sakhalinets Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sakhalinets has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Kaluga found the back of the net in 56% of recent matches (34 games).

H2H data points to 1.33 goals as a typical output.

Kaluga went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kaluga VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Kaluga

(Home)
04 Oct
Rodina Moscow 2
3 : 0
Kaluga
27 Sept
Kaluga
1 : 2
Kirov
20 Sept
Sibir Novosibirsk
3 : 0
Kaluga
13 Sept
Kaluga
1 : 1
Dynamo Vladivostok
09 Sept
Kaluga
1 : 0
Ufa
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Sakhalinets

(Away)
12 Nov
Sakhalinets
2 : 1
Kvant Obninsk
05 Nov
Strogino Moscow
1 : 2
Sakhalinets
29 Oct
Sakhalinets
3 : 1
Dynamo Vladivostok
23 Oct
Ryazan
1 : 2
Sakhalinets
15 Oct
Sakhalinets
0 : 2
Krasnoye Znamya
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kaluga 17 12 3 2 50:6 39
2 Sakhalinets 17 11 3 3 38:21 36
3 Spartak Tambov 17 10 3 4 26:22 33
4 Dynamo Vladivostok 17 10 0 7 30:21 30
5 Arsenal Tula 2 17 8 6 3 24:16 30
6 FK Kompozit 17 8 5 4 28:20 29
7 Saturn Ramenskoye 17 9 2 6 30:18 29
8 SKA Khabarovsk 2 17 8 1 8 30:29 25
9 Penza 17 7 4 6 22:26 25
10 Kosmos 17 6 5 6 24:28 23
11 Sakhalin 17 7 2 8 16:19 23
12 Kvant Obninsk 17 6 5 6 19:27 23
13 Krasnoye Znamya 17 6 4 7 18:26 22
14 Khimki 2 17 6 1 10 20:28 19
15 Ryazan 17 4 3 10 24:27 15
16 Strogino Moscow 17 3 5 9 28:36 14
17 FK Kolomna 17 1 5 11 17:41 8
18 Peresvet 17 2 1 14 21:54 7
Promotion - FNL 2 - Division A Silver 2023/2024 (Spring Season)