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Kalundborg GB vs Boldklubben 1909

Denmark Denmark

2nd Division 2004/2005
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AI Match Summary

Kalundborg GB play Boldklubben 1909 in the 2nd Division 2004/2005. It looks like a close match. Recently, Kalundborg GB averaged 1.53 goals scored and 3.07 conceded. Boldklubben 1909 averaged 1.57 goals scored and 2.33 conceded. In past meetings, Kalundborg GB won 0, Boldklubben 1909 won 3, and they drew 2. Their last match on Apr 17, 2006 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.00 for Kalundborg GB and 2.63 for Boldklubben 1909. This points to a Boldklubben 1909 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Kalundborg GB
21%
Draws
43%
Boldklubben 1909
Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: Boldklubben 1909

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • Kalundborg GB picked up more points recently compared to Boldklubben 1909.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.00 vs 2.63 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 77%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 89%
Over 2.5 Goals 77%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68%
Kalundborg GB Clean Sheet 10%
Boldklubben 1909 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 80%
Second Half Goal 85%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kalundborg GB Boldklubben 1909
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 8
Draws 3 5
Losses 19 17
Goals Scored 1.53 1.57
Goals Conceded 3.07 2.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.00 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2006 2nd Division West
Kalundborg GB vs Boldklubben 1909
1:1
Aug 14, 2005 2nd Division West
Boldklubben 1909 vs Kalundborg GB
1:1
Apr 10, 2005 2nd Division
Kalundborg GB vs Boldklubben 1909
0:1
Aug 7, 2004 2nd Division
Boldklubben 1909 vs Kalundborg GB
3:1
Apr 17, 2004 2nd Division
Boldklubben 1909 vs Kalundborg GB
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kalundborg GB 34 / 100
Boldklubben 1909 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kalundborg GB Boldklubben 1909

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Boldklubben 1909 or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +28.5%
3.57
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.6%
1.41
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Kalundborg GB attacking → ← attacking Boldklubben 1909

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kalundborg GB scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Boldklubben 1909 let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Kalundborg GB went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Boldklubben 1909 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

27 Points in last 5 29
1.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
4.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.13