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Kamatamare Sanuki vs Albirex Niigata

Japan Japan

J2/J3 League Pikara
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Moraes M.
Assist: Mori R.
46'
Sub
Sago S. In: Takashima S.
Out: Sago S.
46'
Sub
Arita S. In: Sano R.
Out: Arita S.

AI Match Summary

The J2/J3 League game between Kamatamare Sanuki and Albirex Niigata finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Albirex Niigata.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Kamatamare Sanuki
44%
Draws
20%
Albirex Niigata
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Albirex Niigata come out ahead of Kamatamare Sanuki on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Albirex Niigata have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Kamatamare Sanuki Clean Sheet 15%
Albirex Niigata Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kamatamare Sanuki Albirex Niigata
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 13
Draws 1 4
Losses 19 13
Goals Scored 1 1.13
Goals Conceded 2 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 J2/J3 League
Albirex Niigata vs Kamatamare Sanuki
2:1
Feb 22, 2026 J2/J3 League
Kamatamare Sanuki vs Albirex Niigata
0:3
Oct 6, 2018 J2 League
Albirex Niigata vs Kamatamare Sanuki
2:1
Feb 25, 2018 J2 League
Kamatamare Sanuki vs Albirex Niigata
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kamatamare Sanuki Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Albirex Niigata Compare

Top Goalscorer Moraes M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wakatsuki Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kamatamare Sanuki 35 / 100
Albirex Niigata 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kamatamare Sanuki Albirex Niigata

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALB Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kamatamare Sanuki's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Albirex Niigata has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Recent resilience: Kamatamare Sanuki stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kamatamare Sanuki VS Albirex Niigata
1 Goals Scored 1.13
2 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vegalta Sendai18160237:1543
2Blaublitz18110723:1635
3Shonan Bellmare18110728:2031
4Yokohama FC18100836:2829
5SC Sagamihara1890933:3628
6Thespakusatsu Gunma18701127:3923
7Montedio Yamagata18801022:2522
8Tochigi City18701122:3521
9Vanraure17501216:2318
10Tochigi SC17501224:3117
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kofu17110620:1233
2Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo18110728:2231
3Iwaki18110726:2031
4Omiya Ardija18100839:2930
5Fujieda MYFC1890924:2330
6Gifu1790823:2527
7Matsumoto Yamaga18801033:2526
8Iwata1890920:2525
9Fukushima United18601230:4318
10Nagano Parceiro18501317:3616
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Toyama18130540:2638
2Albirex Niigata18120624:1935
3Tokushima18110738:2332
4Kochi United18100825:2330
5Ehime1890926:2028
6Kanazawa18100820:2327
7Nara Club18701127:3621
8FC Osaka18601218:2320
9Imabari18601215:2120
10Kamatamare Sanuki18601215:3419
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tegevajaro Miyazaki18150335:1347
2Kagoshima United18120627:1633
3Sagan Tosu18100826:1832
4Renofa Yamaguchi18100827:2429
5Kumamoto1890921:2127
6Gainare Tottori18100824:2527
7Oita Trinita18701119:2022
8Reilac Shiga18701116:2921
9Ryukyu18601217:2817
10Giravanz Kitakyushu18401417:3515