Sport Picks

Russia

FNL 2025/2026 KAMAZ Stadium

Kamaz

2 - 0

S. Kostroma

Our Tip

Match Events

Karaev D.

57'

Sub

Revazov A. In: Sultonov M.

Out: Revazov A.

60'

Sub

Nazarenko E. In: Tlekhugov M.

Out: Nazarenko E.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Kamaz in this FNL 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kamaz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Kamaz

40%

Draws

29%

S. Kostroma

Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Kamaz average 1 goals a game right now, well clear of S. Kostroma's 0.88.
Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 69%

Over 2.5 Goals 24%

Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 3%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%

Kamaz Clean Sheet 68%

S. Kostroma Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Kamaz	S. Kostroma
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	9	9
Draws	12	11
Losses	8	9
Goals Scored	1	0.88
Goals Conceded	1	1
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 FNL

S. Kostroma vs Kamaz

Possession: 57% - 52% Cards: 0 - 4

3:1

May 1, 2026 FNL

Kamaz vs S. Kostroma

Possession: 53% - 50% Cards: 3 - 2

2:0

Oct 11, 2025 FNL

S. Kostroma vs Kamaz

Possession: 51% - 54% Cards: 0 - 4

1:1

Sep 25, 2025 Russian Cup

Kamaz vs S. Kostroma

Possession: 57% - 54% Cards: 0 - 0

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kamaz Compare

Top Goalscorer Karaev D.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Sultonov M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.77

Avg xA / game 0.5

S. Kostroma Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8

Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kamaz 42 / 100

S. Kostroma 40 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Kamaz S. Kostroma

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

S. Kostroma has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Kamaz's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.25 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Kamaz stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kamaz VS S. Kostroma

1 Goals Scored 0.88

1 Goals Conceded 1

63% Over 1.5 75%

25% Over 2.5 13%

13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Rodina Moscow	34	19	11	4	58:28	68
2	Fakel Voronezh	34	20	8	6	44:22	68
3	Ural	34	18	7	9	51:31	61
4	R. Volgograd	34	15	11	8	47:26	56
5	Kamaz	34	12	13	9	46:34	49
6	Yenisey	34	13	10	11	37:35	49
7	S. Kostroma	34	12	13	9	46:41	49
8	Shinnik Yaroslavl	34	11	15	8	34:28	48
9	Torpedo Moscow	34	12	10	12	37:39	46
10	Chelyabinsk	34	10	14	10	42:40	44
11	Neftekhimik	34	10	13	11	40:41	43
12	SKA Khabarovsk	34	10	12	12	37:45	42
13	Arsenal Tula	34	8	15	11	42:44	39
14	Ulyanovsk	34	9	10	15	35:48	37
15	Ufa	34	9	10	15	32:40	37
16	Chernomorets Novorossijsk	34	9	8	17	37:49	35
17	Saratov	34	5	11	18	16:44	26
18	FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye	34	5	7	22	30:76	22