Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kamaz vs S. Kostroma

Russia Russia

FNL 2025/2026 KAMAZ Stadium, Naberezhnye Chelny
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Karaev D.
57'
Sub
Revazov A. In: Sultonov M.
Out: Revazov A.
60'
Sub
Nazarenko E. In: Tlekhugov M.
Out: Nazarenko E.

AI Match Summary

Kamaz in this FNL 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kamaz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Kamaz
15%
Draws
58%
S. Kostroma
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: S. Kostroma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • S. Kostroma have won more games recently than Kamaz.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on S. Kostroma taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Kamaz Clean Sheet 16%
S. Kostroma Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kamaz S. Kostroma
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 6 11
Draws 11 11
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 0.9 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 FNL
S. Kostroma vs Kamaz
3:1
May 1, 2026 FNL
Kamaz vs S. Kostroma
2:0
Oct 11, 2025 FNL
S. Kostroma vs Kamaz
1:1
Sep 25, 2025 Russian Cup
Kamaz vs S. Kostroma
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kamaz Compare

Top Goalscorer Karaev D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sultonov M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

S. Kostroma Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kamaz 15 / 100
S. Kostroma 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kamaz S. Kostroma

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick S. Kostroma Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Kamaz scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

S. Kostroma's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.25 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Kamaz stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kamaz VS S. Kostroma
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Kamaz

(Home)
18 Sept
Shinnik Yaroslavl
0 : 1
Kamaz
14 Sept
Kamaz
1 : 1
Chelyabinsk
09 Sept
Kirov
1 : 0
Kamaz
06 Sept
Ural
2 : 0
Kamaz
29 Aug
Leningradets
0 : 1
Kamaz
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S. Kostroma

(Away)
18 Sept
Ulyanovsk
0 : 1
S. Kostroma
14 Sept
S. Kostroma
1 : 0
Neftekhimik
08 Sept
Ryazan
0 : 2
S. Kostroma
05 Sept
Chelyabinsk
0 : 1
S. Kostroma
31 Aug
S. Kostroma
1 : 0
R. Volgograd
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rodina Moscow 34 19 11 4 58:28 68
2 Fakel Voronezh 34 20 8 6 44:22 68
3 Ural 34 18 7 9 51:31 61
4 R. Volgograd 34 15 11 8 47:26 56
5 Kamaz 34 12 13 9 46:34 49
6 Yenisey 34 13 10 11 37:35 49
7 S. Kostroma 34 12 13 9 46:41 49
8 Shinnik Yaroslavl 34 11 15 8 34:28 48
9 Torpedo Moscow 34 12 10 12 37:39 46
10 Chelyabinsk 34 10 14 10 42:40 44
11 Neftekhimik 34 10 13 11 40:41 43
12 SKA Khabarovsk 34 10 12 12 37:45 42
13 Arsenal Tula 34 8 15 11 42:44 39
14 Ulyanovsk 34 9 10 15 35:48 37
15 Ufa 34 9 10 15 32:40 37
16 Chernomorets Novorossijsk 34 9 8 17 37:49 35
17 Saratov 34 5 11 18 16:44 26
18 FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye 34 5 7 22 30:76 22
Promotion - Premier League (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)