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Kamaz vs S. Kostroma - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

FNL KAMAZ Stadium, Naberezhnye Chelny
Sat, Nov 21, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kamaz host S. Kostroma in the FNL. Little to choose between these two on current form. S. Kostroma have shipped 1.1 goals a game lately, while Kamaz have conceded 1.45 and scored 1.07. Head-to-head, Kamaz have won 2 to S. Kostroma's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Jul 12, 2026, ending 3:1. The numbers (1.13 xG vs 1.50) point toward S. Kostroma. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Kamaz
30%
Draws
33%
S. Kostroma
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Kamaz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Kamaz haven't matched S. Kostroma's recent run of results.
  • Kamaz are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular FNL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Kamaz Clean Sheet 16%
S. Kostroma Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kamaz S. Kostroma
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 6 11
Draws 10 9
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.07 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 FNL
S. Kostroma vs Kamaz
3:1
May 1, 2026 FNL
Kamaz vs S. Kostroma
2:0
Oct 11, 2025 FNL
S. Kostroma vs Kamaz
1:1
Sep 25, 2025 Russian Cup
Kamaz vs S. Kostroma
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kamaz 41 / 100
S. Kostroma 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kamaz S. Kostroma

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kamaz's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

S. Kostroma has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Kamaz has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Kamaz VS S. Kostroma
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Kamaz

(Home)
01 Nov
Kamaz
1 : 1
Torpedo Moscow
24 Oct
Arsenal Tula
4 : 3
Kamaz
17 Oct
Kamaz
2 : 1
Neftekhimik
10 Oct
SKA Khabarovsk
3 : 3
Kamaz
18 Sept
Shinnik Yaroslavl
0 : 1
Kamaz
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S. Kostroma

(Away)
03 Nov
S. Kostroma
2 : 3
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
30 Oct
Veles Moscow
1 : 1
S. Kostroma
26 Oct
Shinnik Yaroslavl
2 : 1
S. Kostroma
17 Oct
S. Kostroma
2 : 0
Leningradets
13 Oct
S. Kostroma
1 : 0
Chelyabinsk
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pari Nizhny Novgorod 16 14 1 1 48:15 43
2 PFC Sochi 16 10 2 4 26:17 32
3 Ural 16 9 4 3 27:11 31
4 Torpedo Moscow 16 8 5 3 28:13 29
5 S. Kostroma 16 8 4 4 22:16 28
6 Veles Moscow 17 8 4 5 21:20 28
7 Shinnik Yaroslavl 16 5 8 3 20:17 23
8 Ulyanovsk 17 6 4 7 22:23 22
9 Ufa 16 5 7 4 18:15 22
10 R. Volgograd 16 5 5 6 23:18 20
11 Arsenal Tula 16 5 4 7 19:33 19
12 Chelyabinsk 16 5 3 8 21:26 18
13 Leningradets 16 4 5 7 15:26 17
14 Kamaz 16 3 5 8 20:28 14
15 Yenisey 16 3 5 8 16:33 14
16 SKA Khabarovsk 16 3 4 9 20:28 13
17 Neftekhimik 16 4 1 11 11:24 13
18 Tekstilshtik 16 2 5 9 12:26 11
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League (Relegation)