Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kamaz vs Saratov

Russia Russia

FNL 2025/2026 KAMAZ Stadium, Naberezhnye Chelny
Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Abdullahi S.
38'
Sub
Mukhin A. In: Egorushkin A.
Out: Mukhin A.
46'
Marugin D.

AI Match Summary

Saratov in this FNL 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Saratov.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Kamaz
35%
Draws
19%
Saratov
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Kamaz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Saratov lately — more wins on the board than Kamaz.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular FNL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Kamaz Clean Sheet 16%
Saratov Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kamaz Saratov
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 6 8
Draws 11 7
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 0.9 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 FNL
Kamaz vs Saratov
0:1
Sep 3, 2025 FNL
Saratov vs Kamaz
0:2
Nov 9, 2024 FNL
Kamaz vs Saratov
3:1
Jul 27, 2024 FNL
Saratov vs Kamaz
1:0
May 25, 2024 FNL
Kamaz vs Saratov
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kamaz Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Saratov Compare

Top Goalscorer Shpitalnyi V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kamaz 30 / 100
Saratov 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kamaz Saratov

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kamaz Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Saratov's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

Kamaz found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Kamaz has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Kamaz VS Saratov
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Kamaz

(Home)
18 Sept
Shinnik Yaroslavl
0 : 1
Kamaz
14 Sept
Kamaz
1 : 1
Chelyabinsk
09 Sept
Kirov
1 : 0
Kamaz
06 Sept
Ural
2 : 0
Kamaz
29 Aug
Leningradets
0 : 1
Kamaz
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Saratov

(Away)
27 Sept
Saratov
0 : 0
Mashuk
21 Sept
Kirov
3 : 1
Saratov
13 Sept
FC Volgar-Astrakhan
1 : 1
Saratov
09 Sept
Saratov
1 : 2
Leningradets
05 Sept
Saratov
2 : 2
D. Bryansk
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rodina Moscow 34 19 11 4 58:28 68
2 Fakel Voronezh 34 20 8 6 44:22 68
3 Ural 34 18 7 9 51:31 61
4 R. Volgograd 34 15 11 8 47:26 56
5 Kamaz 34 12 13 9 46:34 49
6 Yenisey 34 13 10 11 37:35 49
7 S. Kostroma 34 12 13 9 46:41 49
8 Shinnik Yaroslavl 34 11 15 8 34:28 48
9 Torpedo Moscow 34 12 10 12 37:39 46
10 Chelyabinsk 34 10 14 10 42:40 44
11 Neftekhimik 34 10 13 11 40:41 43
12 SKA Khabarovsk 34 10 12 12 37:45 42
13 Arsenal Tula 34 8 15 11 42:44 39
14 Ulyanovsk 34 9 10 15 35:48 37
15 Ufa 34 9 10 15 32:40 37
16 Chernomorets Novorossijsk 34 9 8 17 37:49 35
17 Saratov 34 5 11 18 16:44 26
18 FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye 34 5 7 22 30:76 22
Promotion - Premier League (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)