Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kamaz vs Ulyanovsk

Russia Russia

FNL KAMAZ Stadium, Naberezhnye Chelny
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Nikitin A.
38'
Nikitin A.
46'
Sub
Moseychuk I. In: Sultonov M.
Out: Moseychuk I.

AI Match Summary

The FNL game between Kamaz and Ulyanovsk finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ulyanovsk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Kamaz
30%
Draws
37%
Ulyanovsk
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ulyanovsk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ulyanovsk come out ahead of Kamaz on wins alone.
  • Model gives Ulyanovsk a 37% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Kamaz Clean Sheet 16%
Ulyanovsk Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kamaz Ulyanovsk
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 6 9
Draws 11 8
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 0.9 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 FNL
Kamaz vs Ulyanovsk
1:2
Jan 30, 2026 Club Friendly
Ulyanovsk vs Kamaz
0:1
Nov 8, 2025 FNL
Kamaz vs Ulyanovsk
2:3
Jul 26, 2025 FNL
Ulyanovsk vs Kamaz
1:2
Mar 6, 2023 FNL
Kamaz vs Ulyanovsk
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kamaz Compare

Top Goalscorer Semenov V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Ulyanovsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Nikitin A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Saplinov A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kamaz 28 / 100
Ulyanovsk 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kamaz Ulyanovsk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ulyanovsk Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kamaz's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Ulyanovsk conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Kamaz remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Kamaz VS Ulyanovsk
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Kamaz

(Home)
18 Sept
Shinnik Yaroslavl
0 : 1
Kamaz
14 Sept
Kamaz
1 : 1
Chelyabinsk
09 Sept
Kirov
1 : 0
Kamaz
06 Sept
Ural
2 : 0
Kamaz
29 Aug
Leningradets
0 : 1
Kamaz
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Ulyanovsk

(Away)
18 Sept
Ulyanovsk
0 : 1
S. Kostroma
13 Sept
Ufa
2 : 2
Ulyanovsk
09 Sept
FC Volgar-Astrakhan
0 : 1
Ulyanovsk
05 Sept
Ulyanovsk
3 : 0
Arsenal Tula
30 Aug
Pari Nizhny Novgorod
2 : 2
Ulyanovsk
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pari Nizhny Novgorod 12 10 1 1 36:14 31
2 S. Kostroma 11 7 3 1 15:8 24
3 PFC Sochi 12 7 2 3 21:14 23
4 Veles Moscow 12 7 2 3 16:14 23
5 Ural 11 6 4 1 18:5 22
6 Torpedo Moscow 11 6 2 3 21:9 20
7 R. Volgograd 12 5 2 5 20:14 17
8 Ufa 11 4 5 2 16:13 17
9 Shinnik Yaroslavl 11 3 6 2 15:13 15
10 Yenisey 11 3 4 4 14:19 13
11 Arsenal Tula 12 3 4 5 12:22 13
12 Neftekhimik 12 4 0 8 7:15 12
13 Chelyabinsk 11 3 2 6 12:18 11
14 Ulyanovsk 11 3 2 6 14:17 11
15 Leningradets 11 2 4 5 9:20 10
16 Kamaz 12 2 3 7 11:19 9
17 Tekstilshtik 12 1 4 7 8:19 7
18 SKA Khabarovsk 11 1 2 8 11:23 5
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League (Relegation)