Sport Picks

Croatia

3. HNL South

Neretva

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Risks Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Kamen Podbablje play Neretva in the 3. HNL South. It looks like a close match. Recently, Kamen Podbablje averaged 1.1 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. Neretva averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.17 conceded. In past meetings, Kamen Podbablje won 0, Neretva won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 28, 2022 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.25 for Kamen Podbablje and 1.63 for Neretva. This points to a Neretva double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%

Kamen Podbablje

15%

Draws

53%

Neretva

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Neretva

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence

Kamen Podbablje picked up more points recently compared to Neretva.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.25 vs 1.63 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 64%

Over 2.5 Goals 47%

Over 3.5 Goals 28%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%

Kamen Podbablje Clean Sheet 14%

Neretva Clean Sheet 11%

First Half Goal 58%

Second Half Goal 61%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Kamen Podbablje	Neretva
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	8	14
Draws	8	5
Losses	14	11
Goals Scored	1.1	1.4
Goals Conceded	1.6	1.17
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.75	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 28, 2022 3. HNL South

Neretva vs Kamen Podbablje

Possession: 42% - 42% Cards: 2 - 0

1:0

Nov 27, 2021 3. HNL South

Kamen Podbablje vs Neretva

Possession: 45% - 43% Cards: 2 - 1

2:3

Mar 20, 2021 3. HNL South

Neretva vs Kamen Podbablje

Possession: 59% - 45% Cards: 2 - 0

1:0

Sep 23, 2020 3. HNL South

Kamen Podbablje vs Neretva

Possession: 53% - 40% Cards: 4 - 3

2:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kamen Podbablje 32 / 100

Neretva 50 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Kamen Podbablje Neretva

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Neretva Win (2)

Secondary Pick Neretva & Under 3.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +33.4%

4.17

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +14.7%

2.44

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Kamen Podbablje attacking → ← attacking Neretva

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kamen Podbablje scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Neretva let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Kamen Podbablje went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Neretva lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate

Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

32 Points in last 5 47

1.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.50

1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Jadran Luka Ploce	34	20	5	9	67:28	65
2	Hrvatski Vitez Posedarje	34	18	6	10	56:38	60
3	Hrvace	34	18	6	10	46:39	60
4	HNK Zadar	34	16	11	7	69:28	59
5	Neretva	34	16	7	11	50:36	55
6	RNK Split	34	15	7	12	52:40	52
7	NK Junak Sinj	34	16	4	14	49:46	52
8	Uskok Klis	34	15	6	13	51:54	51
9	Sloga Mravince	34	12	14	8	48:45	50
10	Primorac Biograd	34	14	6	14	60:56	48
11	Zagora	34	12	8	14	47:52	44
12	GOSK Dubrovnik	34	11	10	13	35:34	43
13	Zmaj Makarska	34	11	10	13	28:39	43
14	Neretvanac	34	10	8	16	40:53	38
15	Kamen Podbablje	34	9	10	15	37:51	37
16	Vodice	34	8	9	17	44:73	33
17	Urania Baska Voda	34	10	3	21	33:65	33
18	OSK Otok	34	6	8	20	48:83	26