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Kampaniakos vs Aiolikos FC

Greece Greece

Super League 2 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This looks like a tight matchup. Neither side is clearly dominant, with Kampaniakos averaging 1.0 xG at home and Aiolikos FC producing 1.3 xG on their travels. Both back lines have been leakier than usual lately, which points to an open game with chances for both sides. A single goal could decide this. The Under 3.5 goals market offers solid value. Everything points to a very close contest where a draw wouldn't surprise anyone.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Kampaniakos
15%
Draws
36%
Aiolikos FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kampaniakos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • Kampaniakos picked up more points recently compared to Aiolikos FC.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.04 vs 1.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 72%
Over 2.5 Goals 49%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%
Kampaniakos Clean Sheet 19%
Aiolikos FC Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 65%
Second Half Goal 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kampaniakos Aiolikos FC
Matches Played 35 28
Wins 10 4
Draws 5 7
Losses 20 17
Goals Scored 0.94 0.79
Goals Conceded 1.71 1.64
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40
Possession % 53.5% 46.5%
Shots per Match 13.8 11.2
Shots on Target 4.8 3.6
Corners per Match 5.6 4.4
Yellow/Red Cards 1.8 2.2

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

08.05.24 Super League 2
Aiolikos FC vs Kampaniakos
1:2
03.04.24 Super League 2
Kampaniakos vs Aiolikos FC
0:1
25.02.24 Super League 2
Kampaniakos vs Aiolikos FC
1:0
26.11.23 Super League 2
Aiolikos FC vs Kampaniakos
4:2
07.06.23 Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
Aiolikos FC vs Kampaniakos
2:0

Tactical Matchup Profile

Field Positions & Control Styles

Kampaniakos

Pressing Intensity Medium Block
Attacking Style Quick counter-attacks
Wing Attack Frequency A lot of crosses
Defensive Alignment Sit deep
Strengths
  • Dangerous on corners
  • Overlap on the wings
  • Quick counters
Weaknesses
  • Vulnerable to counters
  • Weak in the air

Aiolikos FC

Pressing Intensity Passive low block (PPDA > 14)
Attacking Style Quick counter-attacks
Wing Attack Frequency Play through the middle
Defensive Alignment Sit deep
Strengths
  • Quick recovery
  • Solid midfield screen
  • Quick counters
Weaknesses
  • Fouling under pressure
  • Defending set pieces

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kampaniakos Compare

Top Goalscorer Key Forward
6 Goals
Assists Leader Midfield Maestro
5 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.64

Aiolikos FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Key Forward
9 Goals
Assists Leader Midfield Maestro
7 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.91

Availability Alerts

Key Defender Aiolikos FC • Hamstring Injury
Out Rating: 8.5
Starting Midfielder Kampaniakos • Ankle Sprain
Doubtful Rating: 6.8
Backup Goalkeeper Aiolikos FC • Muscle strain
Out Rating: 3.2
Star Striker Kampaniakos • Returning to training
Returning Rating: 9.4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kampaniakos 48 / 100
Aiolikos FC 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kampaniakos Aiolikos FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Kampaniakos or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +19.6%
2.44
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.33
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Expected Match Flow Timeline

Dominance and pressure projections by 15-minute intervals

0' - 15' Dominance Index

Kampaniakos will likely press early to force mistakes.

Kampaniakos 59%
Aiolikos FC 37%
15' - 30' Dominance Index

Aiolikos FC should settle down and try to slow the pace.

Kampaniakos 54%
Aiolikos FC 44%
30' - 45' Dominance Index

Both sides will look to break quickly before the half-time whistle.

Kampaniakos 51%
Aiolikos FC 49%
45' - 60' Dominance Index

Tactical adjustments will show. Expect Kampaniakos to push more players wide.

Kampaniakos 56%
Aiolikos FC 44%
60' - 75' Dominance Index

Players will tire. Fresh legs from the bench will spark quicker counter-attacks.

Kampaniakos 51%
Aiolikos FC 49%
75' - 90' Dominance Index

Late drama. Teams will take major risks depending on the scoreline.

Kampaniakos 62%
Aiolikos FC 53%

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Kampaniakos attacking → ← attacking Aiolikos FC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kampaniakos have scored in 95% of their home games in the past 12 months.

Aiolikos FC concede most goals (53%) in the final 15 minutes of matches.

Meetings between these sides average 23 shots per game, well above the league median.

Kampaniakos are unbeaten in 7 straight matches when scoring first.

Aiolikos FC have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last 10 matches.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Fatigue: Both played three matches in ten days, so managers might rotate players.

Risk Factor

Incentive: Kampaniakos wants a European spot, while Aiolikos FC is battling relegation.

Risk Factor

Cards: Historically tense game, a red card could change the whole setup.

Public Accuracy Dashboard

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Overall Accuracy 78.4%
BTTS Accuracy 73.1%
Over 2.5 Accuracy 75.6%
Correct Score Accuracy 18.9%
*All accuracy percentages are audited daily against official match logs.

Recent Predictions Log

Date Prediction Result Status
2026-07-05 Over 2.5 Goals 1-0 Lost
2026-07-01 Home Win (1) 2-0 Won
2026-06-27 Over 2.5 Goals 3-1 Won
2026-06-23 Home Win (1) 1-1 Lost
2026-06-19 Over 2.5 Goals 3-1 Won
2026-06-15 Home Win (1) 2-0 Won
2026-06-11 Over 2.5 Goals 1-0 Lost
2026-06-07 Home Win (1) 2-0 Won

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

35 Points in last 5 19
1.04 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
1.10 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.40
53.5% Ball possession % 46.5%
13.8 Shots per game 11.2
4.8 Shots on target 3.6
5.6 Corners per game 4.4
1.8 Cards per game 2.2