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Kansanshi vs Green Buffaloes FC

Zambia Zambia

Super League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kansanshi play Green Buffaloes FC in the Super League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Kansanshi averaged 0.9 goals scored and 0.77 conceded. Green Buffaloes FC averaged 0.63 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. In past meetings, Kansanshi won 2, Green Buffaloes FC won 0, and they drew 3. Their last match on May 2, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.00 for Kansanshi and 0.63 for Green Buffaloes FC. This points to a Kansanshi double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Kansanshi
35%
Draws
26%
Green Buffaloes FC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Kansanshi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • Kansanshi picked up more points recently compared to Green Buffaloes FC.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.00 vs 0.63 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 55%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Over 3.5 Goals 12%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%
Kansanshi Clean Sheet 29%
Green Buffaloes FC Clean Sheet 15%
First Half Goal 50%
Second Half Goal 52%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kansanshi Green Buffaloes FC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 6
Draws 11 14
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 0.9 0.63
Goals Conceded 0.77 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Super League
Kansanshi vs Green Buffaloes FC
1:0
Dec 6, 2025 Super League
Green Buffaloes FC vs Kansanshi
1:1
Apr 5, 2025 Absa Cup
Kansanshi vs Green Buffaloes FC
4:1
Apr 3, 2024 Super League
Kansanshi vs Green Buffaloes FC
0:0
Oct 29, 2023 Super League
Green Buffaloes FC vs Kansanshi
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kansanshi 41 / 100
Green Buffaloes FC 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kansanshi Green Buffaloes FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Kansanshi or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26%
3.23
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +42.8%
7.14
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Kansanshi attacking → ← attacking Green Buffaloes FC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kansanshi scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Green Buffaloes FC let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Kansanshi went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Green Buffaloes FC lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

41 Points in last 5 32
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.63
0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.63