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Kansanshi vs Nakambala Leopards

Zambia Zambia

Super League 2019/2020
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kansanshi play Nakambala Leopards in the Super League 2019/2020. It looks like a close match. Recently, Kansanshi averaged 1.08 goals scored and 0.72 conceded. Nakambala Leopards averaged 0.52 goals scored and 1.61 conceded. In past meetings, Kansanshi won 1, Nakambala Leopards won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Aug 27, 2020 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.17 for Kansanshi and 0.94 for Nakambala Leopards. This points to a Kansanshi double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

55%
Kansanshi
25%
Draws
20%
Nakambala Leopards
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Kansanshi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

86% / Very High Confidence
  • Kansanshi picked up more points recently compared to Nakambala Leopards.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.17 vs 0.94 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 57%
Over 2.5 Goals 28%
Over 3.5 Goals 17%
Over 4.5 Goals 8%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Kansanshi Clean Sheet 24%
Nakambala Leopards Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 51%
Second Half Goal 54%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kansanshi Nakambala Leopards
Matches Played 36 23
Wins 15 4
Draws 11 4
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.08 0.52
Goals Conceded 0.72 1.61

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 27, 2020 Super League
Nakambala Leopards vs Kansanshi
0:0
Jan 5, 2020 Super League
Kansanshi vs Nakambala Leopards
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kansanshi 54 / 100
Nakambala Leopards 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kansanshi Nakambala Leopards

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kansanshi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Kansanshi & Under 3.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.1%
2.13
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +27.4%
4.55
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Kansanshi attacking → ← attacking Nakambala Leopards

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kansanshi scored in 69% of their last 36 games.

Nakambala Leopards let in goals in 74% of their last 23 matches.

Games between these two average 0.50 goals.

Kansanshi went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Nakambala Leopards lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

56 Points in last 5 16
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

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11Green Buffaloes FC27108928:2738
12Nkwazi27614718:2032
13Buildcon27881129:3532
14Lumwana Radiants27871221:2231
15Kansanshi276101119:2428
16Mufulira Wanderers27451817:3917
17Nakambala Leopards27451815:4517
18Kabwe Youth Academy (Kysa)27351916:5414