Sport Picks

Stadium Background

KaPa vs Ekenas IF

Finland Finland

Ykkosliiga Markku.fi Areena, Helsinki
Sat, Aug 8, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

KaPa host Ekenas IF in the Ykkosliiga. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. KaPa have averaged 1.13 scored and 1.63 conceded recently, against Ekenas IF's 0.63 scored and 1.75 conceded. Head-to-head, KaPa have won 0 to Ekenas IF's 4, with 1 draws. They last met on May 23, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.44 vs 1.13, favoring Ekenas IF. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
KaPa
22%
Draws
18%
Ekenas IF
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: KaPa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: KaPa at 1.13 per game, Ekenas IF at 0.63.
  • Model gives KaPa a 60% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Ykkosliiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Ekenas IF have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
KaPa Clean Sheet 20%
Ekenas IF Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KaPa Ekenas IF
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 11 11
Draws 7 2
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.13 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Ykkosliiga
Ekenas IF vs KaPa
1:0
Feb 6, 2026 Ykkosliigacup
Ekenas IF vs KaPa
1:1
Sep 26, 2025 Ykkosliiga
Ekenas IF vs KaPa
4:1
Jun 14, 2025 Ykkosliiga
KaPa vs Ekenas IF
1:3
Apr 23, 2025 Ykkosliiga
Ekenas IF vs KaPa
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KaPa 58 / 100
Ekenas IF 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KaPa Ekenas IF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ekenas IF has conceded goals in 85% of their last 27 outings.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Attacking prowess: KaPa scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Difficult form: Ekenas IF registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

KaPa VS Ekenas IF
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

KaPa

(Home)
21 Jul
KaPa
0 : 2
Klubi 04
17 Jul
KaPa
2 : 2
SJK Akatemia
10 Jul
PK-35
3 : 1
KaPa
28 Jun
KaPa
3 : 1
JaPS
13 Jun
Jippo
3 : 0
KaPa
Page 1 of 6

Ekenas IF

(Away)
18 Jul
Ekenas IF
0 : 1
JaPS
11 Jul
Haka
3 : 1
Ekenas IF
04 Jul
Ekenas IF
0 : 3
PK-35
27 Jun
Jippo
1 : 1
Ekenas IF
12 Jun
KTP
5 : 1
Ekenas IF
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1PK-3515103225:833
2KTP15102325:1532
3Jippo1576222:1127
4Haka1574426:1725
5JaPS1571714:2322
6Mikkelin1552814:1917
7KaPa1544717:2416
8Ekenas IF1551921:3016
9Klubi 041526714:1812
10SJK Akatemia151597:208
Promotion - Veikkausliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Ykkosliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Ykkonen 2027 (Main)