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KaPa vs Ekenas IF - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Finland Finland

Ykkosliiga Markku.fi Areena, Helsinki
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Match Events

37'
Huhtamaki U.
57'
Sub
Sallinen O. In: Mohamed F.
Out: Sallinen O.
64'
Sub
Pastinen A. In: Sillah S.
Out: Pastinen A.

AI Match Summary

Ekenas IF in this Ykkosliiga matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ekenas IF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
KaPa
35%
Draws
18%
Ekenas IF
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: KaPa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • KaPa haven't matched Ekenas IF's recent run of results.
  • Model gives KaPa a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Ykkosliiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Ekenas IF have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
KaPa Clean Sheet 16%
Ekenas IF Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KaPa Ekenas IF
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 9
Draws 6 5
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 1.31 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Ykkosliiga
KaPa vs Ekenas IF
0:1
May 23, 2026 Ykkosliiga
Ekenas IF vs KaPa
1:0
Feb 6, 2026 Ykkosliigacup
Ekenas IF vs KaPa
1:1
Sep 26, 2025 Ykkosliiga
Ekenas IF vs KaPa
4:1
Jun 14, 2025 Ykkosliiga
KaPa vs Ekenas IF
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

KaPa Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Ekenas IF Compare

Top Goalscorer Kaleba T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KaPa 39 / 100
Ekenas IF 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KaPa Ekenas IF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KaPa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: KaPa scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Ekenas IF let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

KaPa has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

KaPa VS Ekenas IF
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
2 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 13%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

KaPa

(Home)
25 Sept
KaPa
3 : 2
Haka
19 Sept
SJK Akatemia
2 : 3
KaPa
11 Sept
KaPa
1 : 4
PK-35
07 Sept
Klubi 04
2 : 2
KaPa
28 Aug
JaPS
0 : 0
KaPa
Page 1 of 6

Ekenas IF

(Away)
26 Sept
Ekenas IF
1 : 1
SJK Akatemia
18 Sept
JaPS
1 : 0
Ekenas IF
12 Sept
Ekenas IF
2 : 2
Haka
04 Sept
PK-35
0 : 0
Ekenas IF
29 Aug
Ekenas IF
0 : 2
Jippo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 KTP 25 18 4 3 45:22 58
2 PK-35 25 14 7 4 41:18 49
3 Haka 25 13 5 7 47:29 44
4 Jippo 25 11 8 6 32:21 41
5 JaPS 25 11 2 12 23:36 35
6 Ekenas IF 25 8 5 12 29:37 29
7 Mikkelin 25 8 5 12 27:35 29
8 KaPa 25 6 6 13 30:45 24
9 Klubi 04 25 5 8 12 30:37 23
10 SJK Akatemia 25 2 8 15 17:41 14
Promotion - Veikkausliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Ykkosliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Ykkonen 2027 (Main)