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Stadium Background

KaPa vs JaPS

Finland Finland

Ykkosliiga Markku.fi Areena
3 - 1
FT
Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Almen A.
12'
Jantunen E.
13'
Sub
Haikonen P. In: Manner N.
Out: Haikonen P.

AI Match Summary

KaPa in this Ykkosliiga matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored KaPa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
KaPa
11%
Draws
9%
JaPS
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: KaPa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • KaPa and JaPS have been evenly matched lately, statistically speaking.
  • Model gives KaPa a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Ykkosliiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
KaPa Clean Sheet 18%
JaPS Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KaPa JaPS
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 13 13
Draws 6 3
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1 1
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2026 Ykkosliiga
KaPa vs JaPS
3:1
May 29, 2026 Ykkosliiga
KaPa vs JaPS
2:1
Jan 17, 2026 Club Friendly
JaPS vs KaPa
0:1
Sep 5, 2025 Ykkosliiga
KaPa vs JaPS
2:3
Aug 2, 2025 Ykkosliiga
KaPa vs JaPS
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

KaPa Compare

Top Goalscorer Lika Y.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kuningas M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

JaPS Compare

Top Goalscorer Soderlund I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KaPa 76 / 100
JaPS 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KaPa JaPS

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

KaPa's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

JaPS let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

Away concern: JaPS has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

KaPa VS JaPS
1 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1KTP14102225:1432
2PK-351493224:830
3Haka1473424:1524
4Jippo1466219:1024
5JaPS1461713:2319
6Mikkelin1452713:1617
7Ekenas IF1451821:2916
8KaPa1343615:2015
9Klubi 041315710:168
10SJK Akatemia141495:187