Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kapaz 2 vs Zaqatala PFK

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

First Division 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Aliyev R.
(Penalty)
64' Event
Guliyev E.
69' Event
Karimov C.

AI Match Summary

Kapaz 2 in this First Division 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kapaz 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Kapaz 2
15%
Draws
46%
Zaqatala PFK
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zaqatala PFK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Kapaz 2 lately — more wins on the board than Zaqatala PFK.
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on Kapaz 2 taking it.
  • Regular First Division 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Kapaz 2 Clean Sheet 20%
Zaqatala PFK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kapaz 2 Zaqatala PFK
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 13 9
Draws 4 5
Losses 11 18
Goals Scored 1.46 1.06
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2023 I Liqa
Zaqatala PFK vs Kapaz 2
2:0
Nov 1, 2022 I Liqa
Kapaz 2 vs Zaqatala PFK
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kapaz 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Karimov C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Zaqatala PFK Compare

Top Goalscorer Guliyev E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.55

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kapaz 2 49 / 100
Zaqatala PFK 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kapaz 2 Zaqatala PFK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kapaz 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kapaz 2's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Zaqatala PFK conceded in 75% of 32 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Solid form: Kapaz 2 remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Zaqatala PFK
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Kapaz 2

(Home)
23 May
SumQayit FK 2
3 : 2
Kapaz 2
19 May
Kapaz 2
2 : 1
Qarabag Agdam 2
10 May
Kapaz 2
0 : 1
Shamakhi 2
03 May
Imisli FK
1 : 2
Kapaz 2
17 Apr
Zaqatala PFK
2 : 0
Kapaz 2
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Zaqatala PFK

(Away)
16 Sept
Karvan
3 : 0
Zaqatala PFK
10 Sept
Zaqatala PFK
3 : 0
Baku Sporting
04 Sept
Mingachevir
2 : 2
Zaqatala PFK
22 May
Zaqatala PFK
2 : 1
Safa Baku
15 May
Baku Sporting
3 : 0
Zaqatala PFK
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Araz PFK 28 22 3 3 69:22 69
2 Neftci Baku 2 28 18 5 5 67:32 59
3 Turan 2 28 15 3 10 49:37 48
4 Sabail 2 28 13 5 10 46:44 44
5 Gabala 2 28 12 8 8 45:28 44
6 Zaqatala PFK 28 13 5 10 49:48 44
7 Kapaz 2 28 13 4 11 41:36 43
8 MOIK Baku 28 12 7 9 43:42 43
9 Lokbatan 28 12 5 11 30:23 41
10 Shamakhi 2 28 11 4 13 40:56 37
11 Qarabag Agdam 2 28 9 4 15 32:39 31
12 Zira FK 2 28 6 10 12 28:41 28
13 SumQayit FK 2 28 6 4 18 36:60 22
14 Mingachevir 28 5 5 18 29:51 20
15 Imisli FK 28 6 2 20 21:66 20
Promotion - Premier League 2023/2024 (Main)