Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kapaz 2 vs Zira FK 2 Prediction & H2H Stats

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

First Division 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Cafarov E.

AI Match Summary

Kapaz 2 in this First Division 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kapaz 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Kapaz 2
30%
Draws
23%
Zira FK 2
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Kapaz 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Kapaz 2 lately — more wins on the board than Zira FK 2.
  • Win probability leans Kapaz 2's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular First Division 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Kapaz 2 Clean Sheet 20%
Zira FK 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kapaz 2 Zira FK 2
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 13 6
Draws 4 10
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.46 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2023 I Liqa
Kapaz 2 vs Zira FK 2
1:0
Aug 24, 2022 I Liqa
Zira FK 2 vs Kapaz 2
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kapaz 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Cafarov E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Zira FK 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kapaz 2 42 / 100
Zira FK 2 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kapaz 2 Zira FK 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zira FK 2 let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Kapaz 2 scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Kapaz 2 stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kapaz 2 VS Zira FK 2
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Kapaz 2

(Home)
23 May
SumQayit FK 2
3 : 2
Kapaz 2
19 May
Kapaz 2
2 : 1
Qarabag Agdam 2
10 May
Kapaz 2
0 : 1
Shamakhi 2
03 May
Imisli FK
1 : 2
Kapaz 2
17 Apr
Zaqatala PFK
2 : 0
Kapaz 2
Page 1 of 6

Zira FK 2

(Away)
23 May
Zira FK 2
2 : 2
Shamakhi 2
18 May
Imisli FK
1 : 1
Zira FK 2
13 May
Zira FK 2
0 : 2
Qarabag Agdam 2
03 May
Zaqatala PFK
3 : 0
Zira FK 2
26 Apr
Zira FK 2
1 : 1
Neftci Baku 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Araz PFK 28 22 3 3 69:22 69
2 Neftci Baku 2 28 18 5 5 67:32 59
3 Turan 2 28 15 3 10 49:37 48
4 Sabail 2 28 13 5 10 46:44 44
5 Gabala 2 28 12 8 8 45:28 44
6 Zaqatala PFK 28 13 5 10 49:48 44
7 Kapaz 2 28 13 4 11 41:36 43
8 MOIK Baku 28 12 7 9 43:42 43
9 Lokbatan 28 12 5 11 30:23 41
10 Shamakhi 2 28 11 4 13 40:56 37
11 Qarabag Agdam 2 28 9 4 15 32:39 31
12 Zira FK 2 28 6 10 12 28:41 28
13 SumQayit FK 2 28 6 4 18 36:60 22
14 Mingachevir 28 5 5 18 29:51 20
15 Imisli FK 28 6 2 20 21:66 20
Promotion - Premier League 2023/2024 (Main)