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Kapaz vs Imisli FK

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

Premier League 2025/2026 Tovuz şəhər stadionu, Tovuz
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Match Events

2'
Ba M.
33'
Huseynli R.
38' Event
Salahly A.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Kapaz and Imisli FK finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Imisli FK.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Kapaz
15%
Draws
26%
Imisli FK
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kapaz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Imisli FK haven't matched Kapaz's recent run of results.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on Kapaz taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Kapaz Clean Sheet 68%
Imisli FK Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kapaz Imisli FK
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 5
Draws 5 11
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 0.93 0.69
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Premier League
Kapaz vs Imisli FK
0:1
Feb 9, 2026 Premier League
Imisli FK vs Kapaz
0:0
Oct 24, 2025 Premier League
Kapaz vs Imisli FK
0:3
Dec 4, 2024 Azerbaijan Cup
Kapaz vs Imisli FK
1:0
Mar 22, 2015 I Liqa
Imisli FK vs Kapaz
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kapaz Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Imisli FK Compare

Top Goalscorer Salahly A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kapaz 68 / 100
Imisli FK 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kapaz Imisli FK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kapaz Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Imisli FK conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Kapaz has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Imisli FK's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Kapaz VS Imisli FK
0.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
38% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Kapaz

(Home)
20 Sept
Kapaz
1 : 1
SumQayit FK
12 Sept
Kapaz
1 : 0
Gabala
04 Sept
Kapaz
1 : 4
Shamakhi
30 Aug
Kapaz
1 : 0
Turan
15 Aug
Sabah Baku
2 : 0
Kapaz
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Imisli FK

(Away)
19 Sept
Sabah Baku
3 : 1
Imisli FK
11 Sept
Imisli FK
2 : 3
Neftci Baku
04 Sept
Gabala
2 : 1
Imisli FK
29 Aug
Safa Baku
0 : 1
Imisli FK
22 Aug
Zira FK
3 : 1
Imisli FK
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sabah Baku 33 24 6 3 75:25 78
2 Qarabag Agdam 33 21 6 6 71:27 69
3 Turan 33 17 8 8 44:27 59
4 Neftci Baku 33 16 11 6 57:32 59
5 Zira FK 33 13 14 6 43:36 53
6 Araz PFK 33 13 7 13 44:58 46
7 SumQayit FK 33 12 5 16 45:49 41
8 Shamakhi 33 9 11 13 31:40 38
9 Imisli FK 33 7 13 13 23:43 34
10 Kapaz 33 8 3 22 25:61 27
11 Gabala 33 7 6 20 32:49 27
12 Karvan 33 3 6 24 23:66 15
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - I Liqa (Main)
Relegation - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)