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Kapaz vs Khazar Lenkoran - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

Premier League 2015/2016 Ganja City Stadium, Gäncä
Our Tip

Match Events

48' Event
Narimanov T.
90' Event
Rzayev T.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2015/2016 game between Kapaz and Khazar Lenkoran finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kapaz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Kapaz
20%
Draws
10%
Khazar Lenkoran
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kapaz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Khazar Lenkoran haven't matched Kapaz's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Kapaz a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premier League 2015/2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Kapaz have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 21.200000000000003%
Kapaz Clean Sheet 68%
Khazar Lenkoran Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kapaz Khazar Lenkoran
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 11 3
Draws 6 3
Losses 17 24
Goals Scored 0.79 0.4
Goals Conceded 1.26 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2016 Premier League
Khazar Lenkoran vs Kapaz
0:3
Mar 13, 2016 Premier League
Kapaz vs Khazar Lenkoran
2:0
Dec 17, 2015 Premier League
Khazar Lenkoran vs Kapaz
0:1
Dec 2, 2015 Azerbaijan Cup
Khazar Lenkoran vs Kapaz
1:0
Oct 24, 2015 Premier League
Kapaz vs Khazar Lenkoran
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kapaz Compare

Top Goalscorer Narimanov T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rzayev T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Khazar Lenkoran Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kapaz 86 / 100
Khazar Lenkoran 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kapaz Khazar Lenkoran

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kapaz Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Khazar Lenkoran let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Kapaz stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Khazar Lenkoran's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Kapaz VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Kapaz

(Home)
20 Sept
Kapaz
1 : 1
SumQayit FK
12 Sept
Kapaz
1 : 0
Gabala
04 Sept
Kapaz
1 : 4
Shamakhi
30 Aug
Kapaz
1 : 0
Turan
15 Aug
Sabah Baku
2 : 0
Kapaz
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Khazar Lenkoran

(Away)
20 May
Ravan
2 : 2
Khazar Lenkoran
15 May
Khazar Lenkoran
1 : 2
SumQayit FK
11 May
Shamakhi
2 : 1
Khazar Lenkoran
07 May
Khazar Lenkoran
0 : 3
Kapaz
30 Apr
Shuvalan
1 : 0
Khazar Lenkoran
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Qarabag Agdam 36 26 6 4 66:21 84
2 Zira FK 36 17 11 8 42:31 62
3 Gabala 36 16 11 9 44:28 59
4 Shamakhi 36 16 11 9 39:28 59
5 Kapaz 36 15 11 10 48:40 56
6 Neftci Baku 36 13 10 13 41:41 49
7 Shuvalan 36 13 7 16 26:38 46
8 SumQayit FK 36 9 12 15 41:49 39
9 Ravan 36 5 9 22 27:63 18
10 Khazar Lenkoran 36 3 6 27 16:51 15
Promotion - Champions League 2016/2017 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2016/2017 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2016/2017 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2016/2017 (Qualification)